Tag: brain computer interface

Transcript of Lex Fridman interview with Manolis Kellis: Human Genome and Evolutionary Dynamics July 31, 2020

{This is my version of a transcript of the first Lex Fridman interview with Manolis Kellis. I transcribed this conversation because I wanted to dive deeper on a number of topics in this discussion. Perhaps this transcript will be useful to others as well.}

{LF} The following is a conversation with Manolis Kellis, a professor at MIT and head of the MIT Computational biology group. He is interested in understanding the human genome from a computational evolutionary, biological and other cross disciplinary perspectives. He has more big impactful papers and awards that I can list. But most importantly he’s a kind, curious, brilliant human being and just someone I really enjoyed talking to. His passion for science and life in general is contagious. The hours honestly flew by and I’m sure we’ll talk again on this podcast soon. 

{LF [3:50] } …. And now here’s my conversation with Manolis Kellis. What to you is the most beautiful aspect of the human genome?

{MK}    Don’t get me started. So…

{LF} We’ve got time. 

{MK}  The first answer is that the beauty of genomes transcends humanity. So it’s not just about the human genome, genomes in general are amazingly beautiful. And again, I’m obviously biased. So, in my view, the way that I’d like to introduce the human genome and the way that I like to introduce genomics to my classes by telling them, you know, we’re not the inventors of the first digital computer, we are the descendants of the first digital computer. 

Basically life is digital and that’s absolutely beautiful about life. The fact that at every replication step you don’t lose any information because that information is digital. If it was analog, it was just {protein}  concentrations, you’d lose it after a few generations, it would just dissolve away. And that’s what the ancients didn’t understand about inheritance. 

The first person to understand digital inheritance was Mendel of course, and his theory in fact stayed in a bookshelf for like 50 years while Darwin was getting famous about natural selection, but the missing component was this digital inheritance. The mechanism of evolution that Mendel had discovered. So that aspect, in my view, is the most beautiful aspect, but it transcends all of life.

{LF}   And can you elaborate maybe the inheritance part? What was the key thing that the ancients didn’t understand?

{MK}    So the very theory of inheritance as discrete units, you know, throughout the life of Mendel and well after his writing, people thought that his pea experiments were just a little fluke.  That they were just a little exception that would normally not even apply to humans that basically what they saw is: this continuum of eye color, this continuum of skin color, this continuum of hair color, this continuum of height and all of these continuums did not fit with a discrete type of inheritance that Mendel was describing. 

But what’s unique about genomics and what’s unique about the genome is really that there are two copies and that you get a combination of these but for every trait there are dozens of contributing variables. And it was only Ronald Fisher in the 20th century that basically recognized that even five Mendelian Traits would add up to a continuum-like inheritance pattern. And he wrote a series of papers that still are very relevant today about this Mendelian inheritance of continuum-like traits. And I think that that was the missing step in inheritance. So, well before the discovery of the structure of DNA, which is again another amazingly beautiful aspect, the double helix, what I like to call the most noble molecule over time is you know…, holds within it the secret of that discrete inheritance. But the conceptualization of discrete, you know, elements is something that precedes that.

{LF}   So even though it’s discrete, when it materializes itself into actual traits that we see, it can be continuous and basically arbitrarily rich and complex.

{MK}    So if you have five genes that contribute to human height and there aren’t five, there’s 1000. If there’s only five genes and you inherit some combination of them and everyone makes you two inches taller or two inches shorter. It’ll look like a continuous trait, but instead of five, there are thousands and every one of them contributes to less than one millimeter, we change in height more during the day than each of these genetic variants contributes. So by the evening you’re shorter than you were when you woke up.

{LF}   Isn’t it weird then that we’re not more different than we are? Why are we also similar if there’s so much possibility to be different? 

{MK}   Yeah, so there are selective advantages to being medium. If you’re extremely tall or extremely short, you run into selective disadvantages. So you have trouble breathing, you have trouble running, you have trouble sitting, if you’re too tall. If you’re too short, you might, I don’t know, have other selective pressures acting against that. If you look at the natural history of human population, there’s actually selection for height in Northern Europe and selection against height in Southern Europe. So there might actually be advantages to actually being not not super-tall. And if you look across the entire human population, you know, for many many trades, there’s a lot of push towards the middle. Balancing selection is, you know, the usual term for selection that sort of seeks to not be extreme and to sort of have a combination of alleles that sort of, you know, keep recombining. 

And if you look at mate selection super, super tall people will not tend to sort of marry super, super tall people. Very often you see these couples that are kind of compensating for each other and the best predictor of the kids age {height} is very often just take the average of the two parents and then adjust for sex and whom you get it. It’s extremely heritable.

{LF}   Let me ask, you kind of took a step back to the genome outside of just humans. But is there something that you find beautiful about the human genome specifically?

{MK}    So,  I think the genome, if more people understood the beauty of the human genome, there would be so many fewer wars, so much less anger in the world. I mean what’s really beautiful about the human genome is really the variation that teaches us both about individuality and about similarity. So any two people on the planet are 99.9% identical. How can you fight with someone who is 99.9% identical to you? It’s just counterintuitive and yet any two siblings of the same parents differ in millions of locations. So every one of them is basically two to the million {2^1,000,000} unique from any pair of parents, let alone any two random parents on the planet. So that’s I think something that teaches us about the nature of humanity in many ways, that every one of us is as unique as any star and way more unique in actually many ways and yet we’re all brothers and sisters. 

{LF}   And just like stars, most of it is just a fusion reaction.

{MK}    You only have a few parameters to describe stars, you know, 

{LF} Yeah. Exactly.

{MK}  …. mass size, initial size and stage of life. Whereas for humans it’s, you know thousands of parameters scattered across your genome. 

So the other thing that makes humans unique. The other thing that makes inheritance unique in humans is that most species inherit things vertically; basically instinct is a huge part of their behavior. The way that you know….  I mean with my kids we’ve been watching these nest of birds with two little eggs, you know, outside our window for the last few months for the last few weeks as they’ve been growing. And there’s so much behavior that’s hard-coded, birds don’t just learn as they grow. They don’t, you know … there’s no culture like a bird that’s born in Boston will be the same as a bird that’s born in California. So there’s not as much inheritance of ideas, of customs. A lot of it is hard coded in their genome. What’s really beautiful about the human genome is that if you take a person from today and you place them back in ancient Egypt or if you take a person from ancient Egypt and you place them here today, they will grow up to be completely normal. 

That is not genetics. This is the other type of inheritance in humans. So on one hand we have the genetic inheritance which is vertical from your parents down on the other hand we have horizontal inheritance which is the ideas that are built up at every generation are horizontally transmitted. And the huge amount of time that we spend in educating ourselves, a concept known as neoteny, “neo” for newborn and then “teny” for holding. So if you look at humans, I mean the little birds that were eggs two weeks ago and now one of them has already flown off, the other one is ready to fly off.  In two weeks they’re ready to just fend for themselves. Humans:  16 years, 18 years, 24, getting out of college….

{LF}    I’m still learning. So, that’s so fascinating that this picture of a vertical and the horizontal when you talk about the horizontal is in the realm of ideas.

{MK}    Exactly.

{LF}   Okay, so it’s the actual social interactions and ….

{MK}   That’s exactly right. That’s exactly right. So basically the concept of neoteny is that you spend acquiring characteristics from your environment in an extremely malleable state of your brain and the wiring of your brain for a long period of your life. Compared to primates we are useless. You take any primate at seven weeks and any human in seven weeks we lose the battle but at 18 years all bets are off. Like basically our brain continues to develop in an extremely malleable form until very late. And this is what allows education. This is what allows the person from Egypt to do extremely well now. 

And the reason for that is that the wiring of our brain and the development of that wiring is actually delayed. So you know the longer you delay that the more opportunity you have to pass on knowledge, to pass on concepts, ideals, ideas from the parents to the child and what is really absolutely beautiful about humans today is that lateral transfer of ideas and culture. He’s not just from uncles and aunts and teachers at school, but it’s from Wikipedia and review articles on the web and thousands of journals that are sort of putting out information for free and podcasts and videocasts and all of that stuff where you can basically learn about any topic, pretty much everything that would be in any super-advanced textbook in a matter of days instead of having to go to the library of Alexandria and sail there to read three books and then sail for another few days to get to Athens and etc. etc. So the democratization of knowledge and the spread,  the speed of spread of knowledge is what defines I think the human inheritance pattern.

{LF}   So you sound excited about it. Are you also a little bit afraid? Are you more excited by the power of this kind of distributed spread of information? So you put it very kindly that most people are kind of using the internet and you know, looking at Wikipedia,  reading articles, reading papers and so on. But if we are honest, most people online, especially when they’re younger, are probably looking at five second clips on TikTok or whatever the new social network is. Are you,  given this power of horizontal inheritance, are you optimistic or a little bit pessimistic about this new effect of the internet and democratization of knowledge on our …. what would you call this this. gene? Like, would you, would you use the term genome by the way for this?

{MK}    Yeah, I think, you know, we use the genome to talk about DNA, but very often we say, you know, I mean, I’m Greek, so people ask me, hey, what’s in the Greek genome? And I’m like, well, yeah, what’s in the Greek genome is both our genes and also our ideas and our ideals and our culture. 

{LF} The poetic meaning of the word.

{MK}  Exactly. Exactly. Yeah. So I think that there’s a beauty to the democratization of knowledge, the fact that you can reach as many people as you know, any other person on the planet and it’s not who you are, it’s really your ideas that matter, is a beautiful aspect of the internet. 

I think there’s of course a danger of: my ignorance is as important as your expertise. The fact that with this democratization comes the abolishment of respecting expertise, Just because you’ve spent, you know, 10,000 hours of your life studying, I don’t know, human brain circuitry; why should I trust you? I’m just going to make up my own theories and they will be just as good as yours is an attitude that sort of counteract the beauty of the democratization.

And I think that within our educational system and within the upbringing of our children, we have to not only teach them knowledge, but we have to teach them the means to get to knowledge and that, you know, it’s very similar to sort of: You catch a fish for a man for one day, you fed them for one day, you teach them how to fish, you feed him for the rest of their life. 

So instead of just gathering the knowledge they need for any one task, we can just tell them all right: here’s how you Google it, here’s how I figure out what’s real and what’s not, here’s how you check the sources, here’s how you form a basic opinion for yourself. And I think that inquisitive nature is paramount to being able to sort through this huge wealth of knowledge. So you need a basic educational foundation based on which you can then add on the domain specific knowledge, but that basic educational foundation should just, not just the knowledge, but it should also be epistemology, the way to acquire knowledge.

{LF}   I’m not sure any of us know how to do that in this modern day. We’re actually learning. One of the big surprising thing to me about the coronavirus, for example, is that Twitter has been one of the best sources of information, basically like building your own network of experts of of you know, as opposed to the traditional centralized expertise of the WHO {World Health Organization}  and the CDC and the or maybe any one particular respectable person at the top of the department of some kind of institution. You instead look at a you know ten, twenty, hundreds of people; some of whom are young kids with just that are incredibly good at aggregating data and plotting and visualizing that data. That’s been really surprising to me. I don’t know what to make of it. I don’t know how that matures into something stable. You know, I don’t know if you have ideas like what if you were to try to explain to your kids,  where should you go to learn about coronavirus? What would you say?

{MK}    It’s such a beautiful example and I think the current pandemic and the speed at which the scientific community has moved in the current pandemic I think exemplifies this horizontal transfer and the speed of horizontal transfer of information. The fact that, you know, the genome was first sequenced in early January. The first sample was obtained December 29 2019 a week after the publication of the first genome sequence Moderna had already finalized this vaccine design and was moving to production. I mean this is phenomenal,  the fact that we go from not knowing what the heck is killing people in Wuhan to wow, it’s SARS-CoV-2 and here’s the set of genes, here’s the genome, here’s the sequence here, the polymorphisms etc. in the matter of weeks is phenomenal. 

In that incredible pace of transfer of knowledge there have been many mistakes. So you know, some of those mistakes may have been politically motivated or other mistakes may have just been innocuous errors. Others may have been misleading the public for the greater good such as: Don’t wear masks because we don’t want the masks to run out. I mean that was very silly in my view and a very big mistake but the spread of knowledge from the scientific community was phenomenal and some people will point out bogus articles that snuck in and made the front page. Yeah they did. But within 24 hours they were debunked and went out of the front page and I think that’s the beauty of science today. The fact that it’s not, oh, knowledge is fixed. It’s the ability to embrace that nothing is permanent when it comes to knowledge that everything is the current best hypothesis and the current best model that best fits the current data and the willingness to be wrong. The expectation that we’re going to be wrong and the celebration of success based on how long was I not proven wrong for rather than wow, I was exactly right. 

Because no one is going to be exactly right with partial knowledge but the arc towards perfection. I think it’s so much more important then how far you are in your first step and I think that’s what sort of the current pandemic has taught us the fact that you know of course we’re gonna make mistakes but at least we’re going to learn from those mistakes and become better and learn better and spread information better. So if I were to answer the question of where would you go to learn about coronavirus: first textbook? It all starts with the textbook, just opened up a chapter on virology and how coronaviruses work, then some basic epidemiology and sort of how pandemics have worked in the past. What are the basic principles surrounding these first wave? Second wave? Why do they even exist? Then, understanding about growth.

Understanding about the R-naught {R0} and Rt at various time points and then understanding the means of spread: how it spreads from person to person then how does it get into your cells? From when it gets into the cells what are the paths that it takes? What are the cell types that express the particular ACE2 receptor? How is your immune system interacting with the virus? And once your immune system launches its defense, how is that helping or actually hurting your health? What about the cytokine storm? What are most people dying from? Why are the comorbidities and these risk factors even applying? What makes obese people respond more or elderly people respond more to the virus while kids are completely, you know, very often not even aware that they’re spreading it. So, you know, I think there’s some basic questions that you would start from and then I’m sorry to say, but Wikipedia is pretty awesome, Google is pretty awesome. 

{LF}   There used to be a time, maybe five years ago, I forget when but people kind of made fun of Wikipedia for being an unreliable source. I never quite understood. I thought from the early days it was pretty reliable. They’re better than a lot of the alternatives. But at this point it’s kind of like a solid accessible survey paper on every subject ever.

{MK}    There’s an ascertainment bias and a writing bias. So I think this, this is related to people saying so many Nature {journal} papers are wrong and they’re like why would you publish in Nature {journal}? So many Nature {journal} papers are wrong? And my answer is no, no, no. So many Nature {journal} papers are scrutinized and just because more of them are being proven wrong than in other articles is actually evidence that they’re actually better papers overall because they’re being scrutinized at a rate much higher than any other journal. So if you basically judge Wikipedia by not the initial content but by the number of revisions.

{LF} Yeah.

{MK}  Then of course it’s going to be the best source of knowledge. Eventually it’s still very superficial, you then have to go into the review papers etc. But I mean for most scientific project topics, it’s extremely superficial, but it is quite authoritative because it is the place that everybody likes to criticize as being wrong.

{LF}   You say that’s superficial and a lot of topics that I’ve studied a lot of, I find it…  I don’t know if superficial is the right word because superficial kind of implies that is not correct.

{MK}    No, no, I don’t mean any implication of it not being correct, it’s just superficial. It’s basically only scratching the surface. For depth, you don’t go to Wikipedia; you go to the review articles. 

{LF}   But it can be profound in the way that articles rarely …. one of the frustrating things to me about certain computer science, like in the machine learning world articles, they don’t as often take the bigger picture view. You know, there’s a kind of dataset and you show that it works and you kind of show that here’s an architectural thing that creates an improvement and so on and so forth. But you don’t say: well like what does this mean for the nature of intelligence for future datasets we haven’t even thought about or if you’re trying to implement this. Like if we took this data set of 100,000 examples and scale it to 100 billion examples with this method, like look at the bigger picture, which is what a Wikipedia article would actually try to do, which is like: what does this mean in the context of the broad field of computer vision or something like that?

{MK}    Yeah, I agree with you completely but it depends on the topic. I mean for some topics there’s been a huge amount of work, for other topics it’s just a stub. So, you know, I got it. Yeah.

{LF}   Well, yeah, actually, which we’ll talk {about} on genomics was not great.

{MK}    It’s shallow. It’s not wrong. It’s just shallow, shallow. Yeah. Every time I criticize something I should feel partly responsible. Basically if more people from my community went there and edited, it would not be shallow. It’s just that there’s different modes of communication in different fields. And in some fields, the experts have embraced Wikipedia. In other fields, it’s relegated. And perhaps the reason is that if it was any better to start with, people would invest more time. But if it’s not great to start with, then you need a few initial pioneers who will basically go in and say: enough, we’re just going to fix that. and then I think they’ll catch on much more.

{LF}   So if it’s okay before we go on to genomics, can we linger a little bit longer on the beauty of the human genome. You’ve given me a few notes. What else, what else do you find beautiful about the human genome?

{MK}    So the last aspect of what makes the human genome unique in addition to the, you know, similarity and the differences and individuality is that… So very early on people would basically say, oh you don’t do that experiment in humans. You have to learn about that in fly or you have to learn about that in yeast first or in mouse first or in a primate first. {These are examples of model organisms} And the human genome was in fact relegated to sort of the last place that you’re going to go to learn something new that has dramatically changed. And the reason that changed is human genetics. We are the species on the planet that’s the most studied right now. It’s embarrassing to say that, but this was not the case a few years ago. Used to be, you know, first viruses, then bacteria, then yeast, then the fruit fly, then the worm, then the mouse and eventually human was very far last.

{LF}   So it’s embarrassing that it took us this long to focus on it or they ….

{MK}    It’s embarrassing that the model organisms have been taken over because of the power of human genetics. That right now it’s actually simpler to figure out the phenotype of something by mining this massive amount of human data then by going back to any of the other species. And the reason for that is that if you look at the natural variation that happens in a population of seven billion; you basically have a mutation in almost every nucleotide. So every nuclear that you want to perturb; you can go find a living breathing human being and go test the function that nucleotide by sort of searching the database and finding that person. 

{LF}   Wait, why is that embarrassing? It’s a beautiful dataset.

{MK}    It’s embarrassing for the model organism. 

{LF}   For the flies?

{MK}  Yeah, exactly. 

{LF} I mean, do you feel, on a small tangent, is there something of value in the genome of a fly and other these model organisms that you miss,  that we wish we would have would be looking at deeper?

{MK}    So directed perturbation of course. So I think the place where humans are still lagging is the fact that in an animal model you can go and say, well, let me knockout this gene completely.

{LF} Got it.

{MK}  … and let me knockout these three genes completely. And at the moment you get into combinatorics, it’s something you can’t do in humans because they’re just simply aren’t enough humans on the planet.  

And again, let me be honest, we haven’t sequenced all seven billion people. It’s not like we have every mutation, but we know that there’s a carrier out there. 

[29:15] So if you look at the trend and the speed with which human genetics has progressed, we can now find thousands of genes involved in human cognition, in human psychology, in the emotions and the feelings that we used to think are uniquely learned. It turns out there’s a genetic basis to a lot of that. 

So the … you know, the human genome has continued to elucidate through these studies of genetic variation so many different processes that we previously thought were, you know, something that like free will.  Free will is this beautiful concept that humans have had for a long time? You know, in the end, it’s just a bunch of chemical reactions happening in your brain and the particular abundance of receptors that you have this day based on what you ate yesterday or that you have been wired with based on, you know, your parents and your upbringing etc. determines a lot of that quote unquote free will components to, you know, sort of narrower and narrower, you know, sort of slices.

{LF}   So on that point, how much freedom do you think we have to escape the constraints of our genome? 

{MK}  {laughs}

{LF}  You’re making it sound like more and more, we’re discovering that our genome is actually…. has a lot of the story already encoded into it. How much freedom do we have, do you think?

{MK}    So let me describe what that freedom would look like. That freedom would be my saying: Oh, I’m going to resist the urge to eat that apple because I choose not to. But there are chemical receptors that made me not resist the urge to prove my individuality and my free will by resisting the apple. So then the next question is well, maybe now I’ll resist the urge to resist the apple and I’ll go for the chocolate instead to prove my individuality. But then what about those other receptors that you know….

{LF}   That might be all encoded in there.

{MK}    So it’s kicking the bucket down the road and basically saying, well your choice will …. may have actually been driven by other things that you actually are not choosing. So that’s why it’s very hard to answer that question. 

{LF}   It’s hard to know what to do with that. I mean, if if the genome has …. if if there’s not much freedom, it’s

{MK}    It’s the butterfly effect. It’s basically that in the short term you can predict something extremely well by knowing the current state of the system. But a few steps down, it’s very hard to predict based on the current knowledge. Is that because the system is truly free?

 When I look at weather patterns that can predict the next 10 days. Is it because the weather has a lot of freedom and after 10 days it chooses to do something else? Or is it because in fact the system is fully deterministic and there’s just a slightly different magnetic field of the Earth, slightly more energy arriving from the sun, a slightly different spin of the gravitational pull of Jupiter that is now causing all kinds of tides and slight deviation of the moon etc. Maybe all of that can be fully modeled. Maybe the fact that China is emitting a little more carbon today is actually going to affect the weather in Egypt in three weeks and all of that could be fully modeled.

 In the same way. If you take a complete view of a human being now, you know, I model everything about you. The question is, can I predict your next step probably, but how far and if it’s a little further is that because of stochasticity and sort of chaos properties of unpredictability of beyond a certain level or was that actually true free will?

{LF}   Yeah. Yeah. So the number of variables might be so…. you might need to build an entire universe.

{MK}    To simulate a human and then maybe that human will be fully simulatable but maybe aspects of free will will exist. And where is that free will coming from? It’s still coming from the same neurons or maybe from a spirit inhabiting these neurons. But again, you know, it’s very difficult empirically to sort of evaluate where does free will begin and sort of chemical reactions and electric signals end.

{LF}   So on that topic, let me ask the most absurd questions that most MIT faculty roll their eyes on.  {laugh} But what do you think about the simulation hypothesis and the idea that we live in a simulation?

{MK}    I think it’s complete BS.

{LF}  Okay  {laugh}

{MK}   {laugh} There’s no empirical evidence; absolutely none.

{LF}   Not in terms of empirical evidence or not. But in terms of thought experiment, does it help you think about the universe? I mean, if you look at the genome, it’s encoding a lot of the information that is required to create some of the beautiful human complexity that we see around us. It’s an interesting thought experiment. How much, you know, parameters do we need to have in order to model some, you know, this full human experience? Like if you wanted to build a video game, how hard it would be to build a video game that’s convincing enough and fun enough and you know it has a consistent laws of physics, all that stuff. It’s not interesting to you as a thought experiment?.  {laugh} 

{MK}    I mean it’s cute but you know, it’s Occam’s razor. I mean what’s more realistic: the fact that you’re actually a machine or that you’re you know, a person, what’s you know the fact that all of my experiences exist inside the chemical molecules that I have or that somebody is actually, you know, simulating all that.

{LF}   Well you did refer to humans as a digital computer earlier.

{MK}    Of course, of course, but that does not 

{LF} It’s kind of a machine. Right? 

{MK}  I know. I know but I think the probability of all that is nil and let the machines wake me up and just terminate me now if it’s not, I challenge you machines.

{LF}   They’re going to wait a little bit to see what you’re going to do next. It’s fun. It’s fun to watch, especially the clever humans. What’s the difference to you between the way a computer stores information and the human genome stores information. So you also have roots and your work …. would you say you’re when you introduce yourself at a bar,

{MK}   It depends who I’m talking to. 

{LF}    {laugh}  Would you say it’s computational biology? Do you reveal your expertise in computers?

{MK}    It depends who I’m talking to truly. I mean basically if I meet someone who’s in computers, I’ll say, oh, I mean professor of computer science, if I meet someone who’s in engineering as a computer science and electrical engineering, if I meet someone in biology and say, hey, I work on genomics. If I meet someone in medicine, like hey, I work on, you know, genetics.

{LF}   You’re a fun person to meet at a bar, I got you. But so

{MK}   No, no, but what I’m trying to say is that I don’t…. I mean there’s no single attribute that will define myself as, you know, there’s a few things I know there’s a few things I studied. There’s a few things I have degrees on and there’s a few things that I grant degrees in. And you know, I, I publish papers across the whole gamut, you know, the whole spectrum of computation to biology etc. I mean,  the complete answer is that I use computer science to understand biology. So you know, I develop methods in AI, machine learning,  statistics in algorithms etc. But the ultimate goal of my career is to really understand biology. If these things don’t advance our understanding of biology. I’m not as fascinated by them. Although there are some beautiful computational problems by themselves. I’ve sort of made it my mission to apply the power of computer science to truly understand the human genome, health, disease, you know and the whole gamut of how our brain works, how our body works and all of that. Which is so fascinating. 

{LF}   So the dream, there’s not an equivalent sort of complimentary dream of understanding human biology in order to create an artificial life and artificial brain and an artificial intelligence that supersedes the intelligence and the capabilities of us humans.

{MK}    It’s an interesting question. It’s a fascinating question. So understanding the human brain is undoubtedly coupled to how do we make better AI because so much of AI has in fact been inspired by the brain. It may have taken fifty years since the early days of neural networks until we have you know, all of these amazing progress that we’ve seen with you know deep belief networks and you know all of these advances in Go and chess, in image synthesis, in deep fakes, in you name it. But the underlying architecture is very much inspired by the human brain which actually posits a very, very interesting question. Why are neural networks performing so well? And they perform amazingly well. Is it because they can simulate any possible function? And the answer is no, no. They simulate a very small number of functions. Is it because they can simulate every possible function in the universe? And that’s where it gets interesting. The answer is actually a little closer to that, and here’s where it gets really fun.

If you look at the human brain and human cognition, it didn’t evolve in a vacuum. It evolved in a world with physical constraints like the world that inhabits this, it is the world that we inhabit. And if you look at our senses, what do they perceive? They perceive different parts of the electromagnetic spectrum? You know? The hearing is just different movements in air, the touch, etc. I mean all of these things, we’ve built the intuitions for the physical world that we inhabit and our brains and the brains of all animals evolved for that world. 

And the AI systems that we have built happen to work well with images of the type that we encounter in the physical world that we inhabit. Whereas if you just take noise and you add a random signal that doesn’t match anything in our world, neural networks will not do as well. And that actually basically has this whole loop around this, which is this was designed by studying our own brain which was evolved for our own world and they happened to do well in our own world and they happen to make the same types of mistakes that humans make many times. And of course you can engineer images by adding just the right amount of, you know, sort of pixel deviations to make a zebra look like a baboon and stuff like that or like a table. But ultimately the undoctored images, at least, are very often mistaken. I don’t know between muffins and dogs, for example, in the same way that humans make those mistakes.

So it’s you know, there’s no doubt in my view that the more we understand about the tricks that our human brain has evolved to understand the physical world around us, the more we will be able to bring new computational primitives in our AI systems to again better understand, not just the world around us, but maybe even the world inside us and maybe even the computational problems that arise from new types of data that we haven’t been exposed to but are yet inhabiting the same universe that we live in with the very tiny little subset of functions from all possible mathematical functions.

{LF}   Yeah. And that small subset of function is all that matters to us, humans really, that’s what makes….

{MK}   It’s all that has mattered so far. And even within our scientific realm, it’s all that seems to continue to matter. But I mean, I always like to think about our senses and how much of the physical world around us we perceive. And if you look at the LIGO experiment over the last, you know, year and a half has been all over the news, what did LIGO do? It created a new sense for human beings, a sense that has never been sensed in the history of our planet. Gravitational waves have been traversing the earth since its creation a few billion years ago. 

Life has evolved senses to sense things that were never before sensed light was not perceived by early life, no one cared. And eventually photoreceptors evolved and the ability to sense colors by catching different parts of that electromagnetic spectrum and hearing evolved and touch evolved etc. But no organism evolved a way to sense neutrinos floating through earth, or gravitational waves flowing through earth etc. And I find it so beautiful in the history of not just humanity but life on the planet, that we are now able to capture additional signals from the physical world than we ever knew before. And { unintelligible } for example have been all over the news in the last few weeks. The concept that we can capture and perceive more of that physical world is as exciting as the fact that we are, we were blind to it is traumatizing before. Because that also tells us, you know, we’re in 2020 Picture yourself in 3020. Or in 20…

{LF}   What new senses, what might we discover?

{MK}    Is it, you know, could it be that we’re missing 9/10 of physics?

{LF}   Most of physics…

{MK}    That like there’s a lot of physics out there that we’re just blind to. Completely oblivious to it. And yet they’re permeating us all the time. 

{LF}   Yes, it might be right in front of us. 

{MK}    So, when you’re thinking about premonitions,

{LF}   Yeah.

{MK}    A lot of that is ascertainment bias {Sampling bias}. Like yeah, you know, every now and then you’re like, oh I remember my friend and then my friend doesn’t appear and I’ll forget that I remember my friend, but every now and then my friend will actually appear and like, oh my God, I thought about you a minute ago, you just called me. That’s amazing. So, you know, some of that is this, but some of that might be that there are within our brain sensors for waves that we admit that we’re not even aware of. And this whole concept of when I hug my children, there’s such an emotional transfer there that we don’t comprehend. I mean sure, yeah, of course, we’re all hardwired for all kinds of touchy feely things between parents and kids, it’s beautiful. Between partners is beautiful and tender. But then there are intangible aspects of human communication that I don’t think it’s unfathomable that our brain has actually evolved ways and sensors for it that we just don’t capture. We don’t understand the function of the vast majority of our neurons and maybe our brain is already sensing it, but even worse, maybe our brain is not sensing it at all and were oblivious to this until we build a machine that suddenly is able to sort of capture so much more of what’s happening in the natural world. 

{LF}   So what you’re saying is we … physics is going to discover a sensor for love. {laughs}

{MK}    And maybe dogs are off scale for that. {laughs} And we’ve been, you know, we’ve been oblivious to it the whole time because we didn’t have the right sensor and now you’re going to have a little wrist {sensor}  that says, oh my God, I feel all this love in the house. I sense some disturbance in the force.

{LF}   And cats will have zero. None. {laughs}

{MK}    {laughs} No, none.

{LF}   It’s just me. But let’s take a step back to unfortunately ….

{MK}    To one of the four hundred topics that we had actually planned. 

{LF}   But to our sad time in 2020 when we only have just a few sensors and very primitive early computers. So you have a foot in computer science and a foot in biology. In your sense: How do computers represent information differently than like the genome or biological systems?

{MK}    So, first of all, let me correct that no, we’re in an amazing time in 2020. Computer science is totally awesome. And physics is totally awesome. And we have understood so much of the natural world than ever before. So I am extremely grateful and feeling extremely lucky to be living in the time that we are because, you know, first of all, who knows when the asteroid will hit? And second, you know, of all times in humanity, this is probably the best time to be a human being. And this might actually be the best place to be a human being. So anyway, you know, for anyone who loves science, this is it, this is awesome. It’s a great time

{LF}   At the same time, just a swift comment. All I meant is that if you look several hundred years from now and we end up somehow not destroying ourselves.

{MK}  Yeah. 

{LF} People probably look back at this time in computer science and at your work of Manolis at MIT

{MK}   As infantile….

{LF}  As infantile and silly and how ignorant it all was.

{MK}    I like to joke very often with my students that, you know, we’ve written so many papers, were published so much, we’ve been cited so much and every single time I tell my students you know, the best is ahead of us. What we’re working on now is the most exciting thing I’ve ever worked on. So in a way, I do have this sense of, yeah, even the papers I wrote ten years ago, they were awesome at the time. But I’m so much more excited about where we’re heading now. And I don’t mean to minimize any of the stuff we’ve done in the past, but you know, there’s just this sense of excitement about what you’re working on now, that as soon as the paper is submitted, it’s like, it’s old. You know, I can’t talk about that anymore. 

{LF}   At the same time, you’re not… you probably are not going to be able to predict what are the most impactful papers and ideas. When people look back two hundred years from now at your work, what would be the most exciting papers? And it may very well be not the thing that you expected or…. 

{MK}  Yeah.

{LF} …. or the things you’ve got awards for or …..

{MK}    You know, that between some fields, I don’t know, I feel slightly differently about it in our field. I feel that, I kind of know what are the important ones and there’s a very big difference between what the press picks up on and what’s actually fundamentally important for the field. And I think for the fundamentally important ones, we kind of have a pretty good idea what they are. And it’s hard to sometimes get the press excited about the fundamental advances, but, you know, we take what we get and celebrate what we get. And sometimes, you know, one of our papers which was in a minor journal, made the front page of Reddit and suddenly had like hundreds of thousands of views, even though it was in a minor journal, because, you know, somebody pitched it the right way that it suddenly caught everybody’s attention. Whereas other papers that are sort of truly fundamental. You know, we have a hard time getting the editors even excited about them when so many hundreds of people are already using the results and building upon them. So I do appreciate that there’s a discrepancy between the perception and the perceived success and the awards that you get for various papers. But I think that fundamentally, you know, that, you know, some paper…. So, so when you’re right,

{LF}   Is there a paper you’re most proud of, you know, now you just trapped yourself?

{MK}    No, no, no, no. I mean

{LF}   Is there a line of work that you have a sense is really powerful that you’ve done to date? You’ve done so much work in so many directions, which is interesting. Is there something where you think it is quite special?

{MK}    I mean it’s like asking me to say which of my three children I love best. I mean…. 

{LF} Exactly. 

{MK}  So, I mean, it’s such a gimme question that it is so difficult not to brag about the awesome work that my team and my students have done. And I’ll just mention a few off the top of my head. I mean basically there’s a few landmark papers that I think have shaped my scientific path. And you know, I like to somehow describe it as a linear continuation of one thing led to another, led to another, led to another. And you know, it kind of all started with skip skip, skip, skip skip. Let me try to start somewhere in the middle. 

So my first PhD paper was the first comparative analysis of multiple species. So, multiple complete genomes. {Note 1} So for the first time we basically developed the concept of genome wide evolutionary signatures. The fact that you could look across the entire genome and understand how things evolve. And from these signatures of evolution, you could go back and study any one region and say that’s a protein coding gene, that’s a RNA gene, that’s a regulatory motif, that’s a binding site. And so on and so forth. 

{LF}   Sorry, so comparing different ….

{MK}    Different species.

{LF}  Species of the same….

{MK}  Take human, mouse, rat and dog, you know, they’re all animals, they’re all mammals. They’re all performing similar functions with their heart, with their brain, with their lungs, etc, etc. So there’s many functional elements that make us uniquely mammalian and those mammalian elements are actually conserved. 99% of our genome does not code for protein, 1% codes for protein. The other 99%, we frankly didn’t know what it does until we started doing this comparative genomic studies. So basically these series of papers in my career have basically first developed that concept of evolutionary signatures and then applied them to yeast, applied them to flies, applied them to four mammals, applied them to seventeen fungi, applied them to twelve Drosophila {fruit fly} species, applied them to then 29 mammals and now 200 mammals.

{LF}   So sorry. So can we ….So the evolutionary signatures, it seems like it’s such a fascinating idea. I’m probably going to linger on your early PhD work for two hours? But what is, how can you reveal something interesting about the genome by looking at the multiple, multiple species and looking at the evolutionary signatures?

{MK}    Yeah. So, you basically align the matching regions. So everything evolved from a common ancestor way, way back and mammals evolved from a common ancestor about 60 million years back. So after you know, the meteor that killed off the dinosaurs landed ….

{LF} Allegedly.

{MK}  …. near Machu Picchu, we know the {Chicxulub} crater. It didn’t allegedly land.

{LF} That was the aliens. 

{MK}  Okay, just slightly north of Machu Picchu {Yucatan} in the Gulf of Mexico. There’s a giant hole that, that meteor,

{LF}   By the way, sorry, is that definitive? Do people, have people, conclusively figured out what killed the dinosaurs?

{MK}   I think so.

{LF}  So it was a meteor?

{MK}    Well, you know, for volcanic activity, all kinds of other stuff is coinciding, but the meteor is pretty unique and we now have…. 

{LF} That’s also terrifying, we still have a lot of 2020 left… 

{MK}    No, but think about it this way. So the dinosaurs ruled the earth for 175 million years. We humans have been around for what? Less than one million years if you’re super generous about what you call humans and you include chimps basically. So, we are just getting warmed up and you know, we’ve ruled the planet much more ruthlessly than Tyrannosaurus rex. {laughs} T. rex had much less of an environmental impact than we did. And if you give us another 174 million years, you know, humans will look very different if we make it that far. So I think dinosaurs basically are much more of life history on earth and we are in all respects. But look at the bright side when they were killed off another life form emerged: mammals.

{LF}   And that’s that whole…  the evolutionary branching that’s happened. So you kind of have when you have these evolutionary signatures they’re basically a map of how the genome changed.

{MK}    Exactly, exactly. So, now you can go back to this early mammal that was hiding in caves and you can basically ask what happened after the dinosaurs were wiped out. A ton of evolutionary niches opened up and the mammals started populating all of these niches. And in that diversification there was room for expansion of new types of functions. So some of them populated the air with bats flying, a new evolution of flight. Some populated the oceans with dolphins and whales going out to swim etc. 

But we all are fundamentally mammals. So you can take the genomes of all these species and align them on top of each other and basically create nucleotide resolution correspondences. What my PhD work showed is that when you do that, when you line up species on top of each other, you can see that within protein coding genes, there’s a particular pattern of evolution that is dictated by the level at which evolutionary selection acts. If I’m coding for a protein and I changed the third codon position of a triplet that codes for the amino acid; the same amino acid will be encoded. So that basically means that any kind of mutation that preserves that translation, that is invariant to that ultimate functional assessment that evolution will give, is tolerated.

 So for any function that you’re trying to achieve there is a set of sequences that encode it. You can now look at the mapping the,  you know, the graph isomorphism if you wish, between all of the possible DNA encodings of a particular function and that function. And instead of having just that exact sequence at the protein level you can think of the set of protein sequences that all fulfill the same function. What’s evolution doing? Evolution has two components. One component is random, blind and stupid mutation. The other component is super smart, ruthless selection. 

{phone rings} Yeah that’s my mom calling from Greece. Yes. I might be a fully grown man. Yes but I am Greek.

{LF}   Did you just cancel the call? 

{MK}    I know I’m in trouble. She’s going to be calling the cops.

{LF}   I’m going to edit this clip out and send it to her.

{laughter}

{LF}   So there’s a lot of encoding for the same kind of functions.

{MK}    So you now have this mapping between all of the set of functions that could all encode the same, all of the set of sequences that can all encode the same function. What evolutionary signatures does is that it basically looks at the shape of that distribution of sequences that all encode the same thing. And based on that shape you can basically say: “Oh proteins have a very different shape than RNA structures, than regulatory motifs etc. So just by scanning a sequence, ignoring the sequence and just looking at the pattern of change, I’m like wow this thing is evolving like a protein and that thing is evolving like a motif and that thing is evolving. So that’s exactly what we just did for COVID. So our paper that we posted in bioRxiv about coronavirus basically took this concept of evolutionary signatures and applied it on the SARS-CoV-2 genome that is responsible for the COVID-19 pandemic.

{LF}   And comparing it to…. 

{MK}    To 44  Sarbecovirus species. 

{LF} – What word did you just use?

{MK}  – Sarbecovirus. The SARS related beta coronavirus, it’s a portmanteau. 

{LF} – So that’s a family {subgenus} of viruses. 

{MK}  – Yeah.

{LF} – How big is that family? 

{MK}  -We have 44 species that are 

{LF} – 44 species? Viruses are clever.

{MK}  – but no no, but there’s just 44 again, we don’t call them species in viruses, we call them strains. But anyway, there’s 44 strains and that’s a tiny little subset of, you know, maybe another 50 strains that are just far too distantly related. Most of those only infect bats as a host and a subset of only four or five have ever infected humans. And we basically took all of those and we align them in the same exact way that we’ve aligned mammals. And then we looked at what proteins are, you know, which of the currently hypothesized genes for the coronavirus genome are in fact evolving like proteins and which ones are not. And what we found is that ORF10,  the last little open reading frame, the last little gene in the genome is bogus. That’s not a protein at all.

{LF} What is it?

{MK}  It’s an RNA structure.

{LF}   That doesn’t have…..

{MK}    It doesn’t get translated into amino acids.

{LF}   And that’s so it’s important to narrow down to basically discover what’s useful and what’s not.

{MK}    Exactly. Basically what are …. what is even the set of genes. The other thing that these evolutionary signatures showed is that within ORF3A, like a tiny little additional gene encoded within the other gene. So you can translate the DNA sequence in three different reading frames. If you start in the first one, it’s ATG cetera. If you start on the second is TGC et cetera. And there’s a gene within a gene. So there’s a whole other protein that we didn’t know about, that might be super important. So we don’t even know the building blocks of SARS-CoV-2. So if we want to understand coronavirus biology and eventually fight it successfully, we need to even have the set of genes and these evolutionary signatures that are developed in my PhD work, we just recently used.

{LF}   You know what, let’s run with that tangent for a little bit, if it’s okay. Can we talk about the COVID-19 a little bit more like how ….. what’s your sense about the genome, the proteins, the functions that we understand about COVID-19. Where do we stand in your sense? What are the big open problems? And also, you know, you kind of said it’s important to understand what are like the important proteins and like why is that important?

{MK}    So what else does the comparison of the species tell us?  What it tells us is, how fast are things evolving? It tells us about at what level is the acceleration or deceleration pedal set, for every one of these proteins. So the genome has 30 genes, some genes evolve super, super fast. Others evolve super, super slow. If you look at the polymerase gene that basically replicates the genome, that’s a super slow evolving one. If you look at the nucleocapsid protein, it’s also super slow evolving. If you look at the Spike1 {Spike subunit S1} protein, this is the part of the spike protein that actually touches the ACE2 receptor as it enables the virus to attach to your cells.

{LF}   That’s the thing that gives it that visual

{MK}    The corona-look basically. So, the spike protein sticks out of the virus. And there’s the first part of the protein, S1, which basically attaches to the ACE2 receptor. And then S2 is the latch that sort of pushes and channels the fusion of the membranes and then the incorporation of the viral RNA inside our cells which then gets translated into all of these 30 proteins. So the S1 protein is evolving ridiculously fast. So if you look at the stop {brake pedal} versus the gas pedal, the gas pedal is all the way down. ORF8 is also evolving super fast and ORF6 is evolving super fast. We have no idea what they do. We have some idea but nowhere near what S1 is. So what the …

{LF}   Isn’t that really terrifying that S1 is evolving? That means that’s a really useful function. If it’s evolving fast, does that mean new strengths can be created? Or does something….

{MK}    THat means that it’s searching for how to match, how to best match the host? So basically anything, in general, in evolution, if you look at genomes, anything that’s contacting the environment is evolving much faster than anything that’s internal. And the reason is that the environment changes. So if you look at the evolution of the sarbecoviruses, the S1 protein has evolved very rapidly because it’s attaching to different hosts each time. We think of them as bats but there’s thousands of species of bats and to go from one species of bat to another species of bat….

{LF} You have to figure out …. 

{MK}  S1 to the new ACE2 receptor that you’re going to be facing in that new species.

{LF}   [1:03:00] Quick tangent. Is it fascinating to you that viruses are doing this? I mean it feels like they’re this intelligent organism. I mean, is it like …. does that give you pause how incredible it is that the evolutionary dynamics that you’re describing is actually happening and they’re freaking out figuring out how to jump from bats to humans all in this distributed fashion. And then most of us don’t even say they’re alive or intelligent or whatever.

{MK}    So intelligence is in the eye of the beholder, you know, stupid is as stupid does, as Forrest Gump would say and intelligent is as intelligent does. So basically if the virus is finding solutions that we think of as intelligent yeah, they’re probably intelligent but that’s again in the eye of the beholder. 

{LF} Do you think viruses are intelligent? 

{MK}  Of course not.

{LF} Really? 

{MK}  No, because …

{LF} It’s so incredible. 

{MK} : Remember when I was talking about the two components of evolution, one is the stupid mutation which is completely blind and the other one is the super smart selection which is ruthless. So it’s not viruses who are smart, it’s this component of evolution that is smart. So it’s evolution that sort of appears smart and how is that happening? By huge parallel search across thousands of you know, parallel infections throughout the world right now. 

{LF}   Yes, but so to push back on that. So yes. So then the intelligence is in the mechanism but then by that argument, viruses would be more intelligent because there’s just more of them. So the search they’re basically …. the brute force search that’s happening with viruses because there’s so many more than than humans then they’re taken as a whole are more intelligent. I mean, so you don’t think it’s possible that, I mean, who runs…. Would we even be here if viruses weren’t? I mean who runs this thing?

{MK}    So the virus… So let me answer,let me answer your question. So we would not be here if it wasn’t for viruses. And part of the reason is that if you look at mammalian evolution early on in this mammalian radiation that basically happened after the death of the dinosaurs is that some of the viruses that we had in our genome spread throughout our genome and created binding sites for new classes of regulatory proteins and these binding sites that landed all over genome are now control elements that basically control our genes and sort of help the complexity of the circuitry of mammalian genomes. So, you know, everything is coevolution and ….

{LF}   We’re working together.

{MK}    Yeah.

{LF} And yet you said they’re dumb. 

{MK}  No, I never said they’re dumb. They just don’t care. They don’t care. Another thing: Oh is the virus trying to kill us? No, it’s not. The virus is not trying to kill you. It’s not, it’s actually actively trying to not kill you. So when you get infected if you die: “bummer I killed him”, is what the reaction of the virus will be. Why? Because that virus won’t spread. Many people have a misconception that viruses are smart or viruses are mean. They don’t care. It’s like you have to clean yourself of any kind of anthropomorphism out there. 

{LF} I don’t know. 

{MK}  Oh yes. 

{LF}   So there’s a sense when taken as a whole that there’s a …..

{MK}    It’s in the eye of the beholder. Stupid is as stupid does. Intelligence is as intelligence does. So, if you want to call them intelligent, that’s fine because the end result is that they’re finding amazing solutions.

{LF} Right. 

{MK}  I mean I am in awe …

{LF} But they’re so dumb about it. They’re just doing dumb….

{MK}  They don’t care. They’re not dumb and they’re not even..

{LF} Sorry. They don’t care.

{MK}  Exactly.

{LF}  The care word is really interesting. 

{MK}  Exactly.

{LF} I mean it could be an argument that they are conscious.

{MK}   They’re just dividing. They’re not {conscious}, they’re just dividing. They’re just a little entity which happens to be dividing and spreading. It just doesn’t want to kill us. In fact it prefers not to kill us. It just wants to spread. And when I say wants, again I’m anthropomorphizing but it’s just that if you have two versions of a virus, one acquires a mutation that spreads more, that’s going to spread more. One acquires a mutation that spreads less,that’s going to be lost. 

{LF} Yeah.

{MK}  One acquires a mutation that enters faster, that’s gonna be kept. One acquires a mutation that kills you right away, it’s going to be lost. So, over evolutionary time, the viruses that spread super well but don’t kill the host are the ones that are going to survive.

{LF}   Yeah but so … you’ve brilliantly described the basic mechanisms of how it all happens. But when you zoom out and you see the, you know,  the entirety of viruses, maybe across different strains of viruses. It seems like a living organism.

{MK}    I am in awe of biology. I find biology amazingly beautiful. I find the design of the current coronavirus, however lethal it is, amazingly beautiful: the way that it is encoded, the way that it tricks your cells Into making thirty proteins from a single RNA. Human cells don’t do that. Human cells make one protein from each RNA molecule. They don’t make two, they make one. We are hardwired to make only one protein from every RNA molecule. 

And yet this virus goes in and throws in a single messenger RNA. Just like any messenger RNA. We have tens of thousands of messenger RNAs in ourselves at any one time in every one of ourselves. It throws in one RNA and that RNA is,so I’m going to use your word here, not my word: “intelligent”; that it hijacks the entire machinery of your human cell. It basically has at the beginning a giant open reading frame. That’s a giant protein that gets translated.  Two-thirds of that RNA makes a single giant protein. That single protein is basically what a human cell would make.  It’s like: “Oh here’s a start codon and I’m going to start translating here.” Human cells are kind of dumb. I’m sorry again this is not the word that we normally use but the human cell is basically: “So, this is an RNA, it must be mine. Let me translate it.” 

And it starts translating it and then you’re in trouble. Why? Because that one protein as it’s growing gets cleaved into about 20 different peptides. The first peptide and the second peptide start interacting and the third one in the fourth one and they shut off the ribosome of the whole cell to not translate human RNAs anymore. So the virus basically hijacks your cells and it cuts, it cleaves every one of your human RNAs to basically say to the rivals: “Don’t translate this one, junk. Don’t look at this one, junk.” And it only spares its own RNA because they have a particular mark that it spares. 

Then all of the ribosomes that normally make protein in your human cells are now only able to translate viral RNA like more and more and more and more of them. That’s the first 20 proteins. In fact, halfway down, about protein 11 – between 11 and 12, you basically have a translational slippage where the ribosomes skip {the} reading frame and it translates from one reading frame to another reading frame. That means that about half of them are gonna be translated from 1-11 and the other half are going to be translated from 12 to 16. It’s gorgeous. And then you’re done. Then that mRNA will never translate the last ten proteins. But spike is the one right after that one. So how does spike even get translated? 

This positive-strand RNA virus has a reverse transcriptase which is an RNA based reverse transcriptase. So from the RNA on the positive strand it makes an RNA on the negative strand and in between every single one of these genes, these open reading frames, there’s a little signal AACGCA, or something like that that basically loops over to the beginning of the RNA. And basically, instead of sort of having a single full negative strand RNA, it basically has a partial negative strand RNA that ends right before the beginning of that gene. And another one that ends right before the beginning of that {uses hands to indicate a subsequent} gene. These negative strand RNAs now make positive strand RNA. That then look to the human whole cell just like any other human mRNA. It’s like: “Oh great I’m going to translate that one,” because it doesn’t have the cleaving that the virus has now put on all your human genes and then you’ve lost the battle. That cell is now only making proteins for the virus that will then create the spike protein, the envelope protein, the membrane protein, the nucleocapsid protein that will package up the RNA and then sort of create new viral envelopes. And these will then be secreted out of that cell in new little packages that will then infect the rest of cells.

{LF} Repeat the whole process. 

{MK}  It’s beautiful, right? It’s mind blowing..

{LF}   It’s hard not to anthropomorphize but …. {both laughing}

{MK}    It’s so gorgeous.

{LF}   So there is a beauty to it. Is it terrifying to you?

{MK}    So this is something that has happened throughout history. Humans have been nearly wiped out over and over and over again and yet never fully wiped out. So I’m not concerned about the human race, I’m not even concerned about, you know,the impact on sort of our survival as a species.This is absolutely something, I mean, you know, human life is so invaluable and every one of us is so invaluable. But if you think of it as sort of, is this the end of our species by no means.

So basically, so let me explain. The Black Death killed what, 30% of Europe? That has left a tremendous imprint, you know, a huge hole, horrendous hole in the genetic makeup of humans. There’s been a series of wiping out of huge fractions of entire species or just entire species altogether and that has a consequence on the human immune repertoire. 

If you look at how Europe was shaped and how Africa was shaped by malaria for example, all the individuals that carry imitation that protected from malaria were able to survive much more. And if you look at the frequency of sickle cell disease and the frequency of malaria, the maps are actually showing the same pattern, the same imprint on Africa and that basically led people to hypothesize that the reason why sickle cell disease is so much more frequent in Americans of African descent is because there was selection in Africa against malaria leading to sickle cell, because when the cells sickle, malaria is not able to replicate inside yourselves as well and therefore you protect against that. 

So if you look at human disease, all of the genetic associations that we do with human disease, you basically see the imprint of these waves of selection, killing off gazillions of humans. And there’s so many immune processes that are coming up as associated with so many different diseases.

The reason for that is similar to what I was describing earlier, where the outward facing proteins evolved much more rapidly because the environment is always changing. But what’s really interesting {in}  the human genome is that we have co-opted many of these immune genes to carry out non-immune functions. For example, in our brain we use immune cells to cleave off neuronal connections that don’t get used. This whole “use it or lose it;” we know the mechanism it’s microglia to cleave off neuronal synaptic connections that are just not utilized. When you utilize them, you mark them in a particular way that basically when the microglia come tell it:  “Don’t kill this one, it’s used now.” and the microglia will go off and kill the ones you don’t use. This is an immune function which is co-opted to do non-immune things. 

If you look at our adipocytes, M1 versus M2 macrophages  inside our fat will basically determine whether you’re obese or not. And these are again immune cells that are resident and living within these tissues. So, many disease associations …..

{LF}   That we co opt these kinds of things for incredibly complicated functions.

{MK}   Exactly. Evolution works in so many different ways which are all beautiful and mysterious.

{LF}  But not intelligent.

{MK}  Not intelligent, it’s in the eye of the beholder. But the point that I’m trying to make is that if you look at the imprint that COVID will have, hopefully it will not be big. Hopefully the US will get its act together and stop the virus from spreading further. But if it doesn’t, it’s having an imprint on individuals who have particular genetic repertoires. So if you look at now the genetic associations of blood type and immune function cells, etc. there’s actually association, genetic variation that basically says how much more likely am I or you to die if we contract the virus. And it’s through these rounds of shaping the human genome that humans have basically made it so far. 

And selection is ruthless and it’s brutal and it only comes with a lot of killing. But this is the way that viruses and environments have shaped the human genome. Basically when you go through periods of famine you select for particular genes. And what’s left is not necessarily better; it’s just whatever survived. And it may have been the surviving one back then; not because it was better. Maybe the ones that run slower survived. I mean you know again not necessarily better but the surviving ones are basically the ones that then are shaped for any kind of subsequent evolutionary condition and environmental condition. 

But if you look at, for example, obesity. Obesity was selected for, basically the genes that predispose to obesity, were at a 2% frequency in Africa. They rose to 44% frequency in Europe.

{LF} Wow, that’s fascinating.

{MK}  Because you basically went through the Ice Ages and there was a scarcity of food, so you know there was a selection to being able to store every single calorie you consume. Eventually the environment changes. So the better allele, which was the fat storing allele, became the worst allele because it’s the fat storing allele. It still has the same function. So if you look at my genome, speaking of Mom calling, Mom gave me a bad copy of that gene, this FTO locus basically makes ….

{LF}   The one that has to do with obesity.

{MK}    Obesity. Yeah, basically now I have a bad copy from mom that makes me more likely to be obese. And I also have a bad copy from dad that makes me more likely to be obese, so I’m homozygous. And that’s the allele, it’s still the minor allele, but it’s at 44% frequency in Southeast Asia, 42% frequency in Europe, even though it started at 2% {in Africa}. It was an awesome allele to have a100 years ago. Right now, it’s a pretty terrible allele. 

So the other concept is that diversity matters. If we had 100 million nuclear physicists living on the earth right now we’d be in trouble. You need diversity. You need artists and you need musicians and you need mathematicians and you need, you know, politicians. Yes even those and you need like…. 

{LF}   Let’s not let’s not get crazy now. But because then if a virus comes along or whatever. 

{MK}    Exactly, exactly. So no, there’s two reasons. Number one, you want diversity in the immune repertoire and we have built-in diversity. So basically they are the most diverse …. basically if you look at our immune system there’s layers and layers of diversity. Like the way that you create your cells generates diversity because of the selection for the V(D)J  recombination that basically eventually leads to a huge number of repertoires but that’s only one small component of diversity. The blood type is another one.  The major histocompatibility complex, the HLA {Human leukocyte antigen} alleles are another source of diversity. So the immune system of humans is by nature incredibly diverse and that basically leads to resilience. So basically what I’m saying is that I don’t worry for the human species because we are so diverse immunologically we are likely to be very resilient against so many different attacks like this current virus. 

{LF}   So, you’re saying natural pandemics may not be something that you’re really afraid of because of the diversity in our genetic makeup. What about engineered pandemics? Do you have fears of us messing with the makeup of viruses or ….  Well, yeah let’s say with the makeup of viruses to create something that we can’t control and would be much more destructive that would come about naturally.

{MK}    Remember how we were talking about how smart evolution is? Humans are much dumber.

{LF} You mean like human scientists, human engineers?

{MK}  Humans, humans just like us.

{LF} Humans overall.

{MK}  But I mean even, you know, the sort of synthetic biologists. You know, basically if you were to create, you know, a virus like SARS that will kill other people you would probably start with SARS. So whoever, you know, would like to design such a thing would basically start with a SARS tree or at least some relative of SARS. The source genome for the current virus was something completely different. It was something that has never infected humans. No one in their right mind would have started there.

{LF}   But when you say sources like the nearest….

{MK}    The nearest relative is in a whole other branch, no species of which has ever infected humans in that branch. So you know, let’s put this to rest. This was not designed by someone to kill off the human race. 

{LF}   You don’t believe it was engineered

{MK}    The path to engineering a deadly virus would not come from this strain, that guy that was used. Moreover, there’s been various claims of: “Ha ha this was mixed and matched in the lab,” because the S1 protein has three different components, each of which has a different evolutionary tree. 

So you know, a lot of the popular press basically said: Aha, this came from pangolin and this came from, you know, all kinds of other species.” This is what has been happening throughout the coronavirus strain. So basically the S1 protein has been recombining across species all the time. 

Remember when I was talking about the positive-strand and negative-strands (sub-genomic RNAs) these can actually recombine and if you have two different viruses infecting the same cell, they can actually mix and match between the positive-strand and the negative-strand and basically create a new hybrid virus with recombination that now has the S1 from one and the rest of the genome from another. And this is something that happens a lot in S1 in ORF8, etc.  And that’s something that’s true of the whole tree.

{LF}   For the whole family of coronaviruses.

{MK}    Exactly. So it’s not like someone has been messing with this for millions of years and you know changing….

{LF} This happens naturally, Again, that’s beautiful. That somehow happens that they recombine, the two different strands can affect the body and recombine. So all of this magic actually happens inside hosts. Like all…..

{MK}    Yeah, that’s why they…. that’s why classification-wise, virus is not thought to be alive because it doesn’t self-replicate. It’s not autonomous, it’s something that enters a living cell and then co-opted to basically make it its own. But by itself, people ask me, how do we kill this bastard? Like you stop it from replicating. It’s not like a bacterium that will just live in a, you know, a puddle or something. It’s a virus, viruses don’t live without their hosts and they only live with their host for very little time. So if you stop it from replicating it’ll stop from spreading. I mean it’s not like HIV which can stay dormant for a long time, basically coronaviruses just don’t do that. They’re not integrating genomes, they are RNA genomes. So if it’s not expressed, it degrades. RNA degrades, it doesn’t just stick around.

{LF}   Well, let me ask, also about the immune system you mentioned. A lot of people kind of ask, you know: “How can we strengthen the immune system to respond to this particular virus or to the viruses in general?” Do you have, from a biological perspective thoughts, on what we can do as humans to strengthen our immune systems?

{MK}     If you look at death rates across different countries, people with less vaccination have been dying more. If you look at North Italy, the vaccination rates are abysmal there and a lot of people have been dying. If you look at Greece: very good vaccination rates, almost no one has been dying. So yes, there is a policy component. So Italy reacted very slowly. Greece reacted very fast. So you have many fewer people died in Greece but there might actually be a component of genetic immune repertoire. Basically, how did people die off, you know, in the history of the Greek population versus the Italian population, there’s…..

{LF}   That’s interesting to think about.

{MK}    And then there’s a component of what vaccinations did you have as a kid and what are the off-target effects of those vaccinations? So basically a vaccination can have two components. One is training your immune system against that specific insult. The second one is boosting up your immune system for all kinds of other things.

If you look at allergies, Northern Europe, super clean environments, tons of allergies. Southern Europe, my kids grew up eating dirt, no allergies. So growing up, I never had even heard of what allergies are. I was like really, allergies? And the reason is that I was playing in the garden, I was putting all kinds of stuff in my mouth from you know, all kinds of dirt and stuff. Tons of viruses there in terms of bacteria there, you know, my immune system was built up. So the more you protect your immune system from exposure, the less opportunity has to learn about non-self repertoire in a way that prepares it for the next insult.

{LF}  So, it’s a horizontal thing too, like throughout your lifetime and the lifetime of the people that  …. your ancestors, that kind of thing. What about …. So again it returns again to free will. On the free will side of things, is there something we can do to strengthen our immune systems in 2020? Is there like, you know, exercise diet, all that kind of stuff?

{MK}    So it’s kind of funny, there’s a cartoon that basically shows two windows with a teller in each window. One has a humongous line and the other one has no one, the one that has no one {the sign} above says health. No, it says exercise and diet and the other one says pill, there’s a huge line for pill. 

So we’re looking basically for magic bullets for sort of ways that we can, you know, beat cancer and beat coronavirus and beat this and beat that. It turns out that the window with just diet and exercise is the best way to boost every aspect of your health. If you look at Alzheimer’s: exercise and nutrition. I mean you’re like: “really, for my brain neurodegeneration.” Absolutely. If you look at cancer: exercise and nutrition. If you look at coronavirus: exercise and nutrition, every single aspect of human health gets improved. And one of the studies we’re doing now is basically looking at what are the effects of diet and exercise? How similar are they to each other? Were basically taken diet intervention and exercise intervention in human and in mice and we’re basically doing single cell profiling of a bunch of different tissues to basically understand how are the cells, both the stromal cells and the immune cells of each of these tissues responding to the effect of exercise. What are the communication networks between different cells where with the muscle that exercises sends signals through the bloodstream, through the lymphatic system, through all kinds of other systems that give signals to other cells that I have exercised and you should change in this particular way, which basically reconfigure those receptor cells with the effect of exercise.

{LF}  How well understood is the…. are those reconfigurations?

{MK}    Very little. We’re just starting now basically

{LF}   is the hope thereto understand the effect on…. So like the effect on the immune system?

{MK}    On the immune system, the effect on the brain, the effect on your liver, on your digestive system, on your adipocytes. Adipose, you know, is the most misunderstood organ. Everybody thinks fat is terrible. No fat is awesome. Your fat cells is what’s keeping you alive. Because if you didn’t have your fat cells, all those lipids and all those calories would be floating around in your blood and you’d be dead by now. Your adipocytes are your best friends and are basically storing all these excess calories so that they don’t hurt all of the rest of the body. And they’re also fat burning in many ways. 

So again, when you don’t have the homozygous version that I have, your cells are able to burn calories much more easily by sort of flipping a master metabolic switch that involves this FTO locus that I mentioned earlier and its target genes are  IRX3 and  IRX5. {[2]} They basically switch your adipocytes during their three first days of differentiation as they’re becoming mature adipocytes to basically become either fat burning or fat storing fat cells. 

And the fat burning fat cells {Brown adipose tissue} are your best friends. They’re much closer to muscle than they are to white adipocytes.

{LF}   Is there a lot of difference between people like that you could give ….. Science could eventually give advice that is very generalizable or is our differences in our genetic makeup like you mentioned, is that going to be basically something we have to be very specialized to individuals, any advice would give in terms of diet like we were just talking about.

{MK}   

Believe it or not, the most personalized advice that you give for nutrition don’t have to do with your genome. They have to do with your gut microbiome with the bacteria that live inside you. So most of your digestion is actually happening by species that are not human inside you. You have more non-human cells then you have human cells. You’re basically a giant bag of bacteria with a few human cells along. {laughs}

{LF}   And those do not necessarily have to do with your genetic makeup?

{MK}    They interact with your genetic makeup. They interact with your epigenome, they interact with your nutrition, they interact with your environment. They’re, you know, basically an additional source of variation. So when you’re thinking about sort of personalized nutritional advice, part of that is actually how do you match your microbiome? And part of that is how do we match your genetics? But again, you know, this is a very diverse set of, you know, contributors and the effect sizes are not enormous. So I think the science for that is not fully developed yet.

{LF}   Speaking of diet because I’ve wrestled in combat sports; sports my whole life where weight matters so you have to cut { lose weight rapidly} and all that stuff.One thing I’ve learned a lot about my body and it seems to be, I think true about other people’s bodies is that you can adjust a lot of things. That’s the miraculous thing about this biological system is like I fast often. I used to eat like 5-6 times a day and thought that was absolutely necessary. How could you not eat that often? And then when I started fasting, your body adjusts to that and you learn how to not eat, you know, and it’s as if you just give it a chance for a few weeks…. actually over a period of a few weeks, your body can adjust to anything. And that’s such a beautiful thing.

{MK}    So I’m a computer scientist and I’ve basically gone through periods of 24 hours without eating or stopping and you know, then I’m like, oh, must eat and I eat a ton. I used to order two pizzas just with my brother and you know, like I’ve gone through these extremes as well and I’ve gone the whole intermittent fasting thing. So I can sympathize with you both on the seven meals a day to the zero meals a day. 

So I think when I say everything in moderation, I actually think your body responds interestingly to these different changes in diet. I think part of the reason why we lose weight with pretty much every kind of change in behavior is because our epigenome and the set of proteins and enzymes that are expressed and our microbiome are not well suited to that nutritional source. And therefore they will not be able to sort of catch everything that you give them. And then, you know, a lot of that will go undigested. And that basically means that your body can then, you know, lose weight in the short term, but very quickly will adjust to the new normal. And then we’ll be able to sort of perhaps gain a lot of weight from the diet. 

So anyway, I mean there’s also studies in factories where basically people, you know, dim the lights. And then suddenly everybody started working better. It was like: “Wow, that’s amazing.”

Three weeks later they made the lights a little brighter, everybody started working better. {Hawthorne effect} So any kind of intervention has a placebo effect of: “Wow, now I’m healthier and I’m going to be running more often,” etc. So it’s very hard to uncouple the placebo effect of “Wow, I’m doing something to intervene on my diet,” from the: “Wow, this is actually the right thing for me.” So you know….

{LF}   Yeah. From the perspective from a nutrition science, psychology, both things I’m interested, especially psychology, it seems that it’s extremely difficult to do good science because there’s so many variables involved, it’s so difficult to control the variables, so difficult to do sufficiently large scale experiments, both sort of in terms of number of subjects and temporal, like how long you do the study for; that it just seems like it’s not even a real science for now, like nutrition science.

{MK}    I want to jump into the whole placebo effect for a little bit here. And basically, talk about the implications of that. If I give you a sugar pill and tell you it’s a  sugar pill, you won’t get any better. But if I tell you  {it’s a} sugar pill and tell you, and I’ll tell you: “Wow, this is an amazing drug. It actually will stop your cancer;” your cancer will actually stop with much higher probability. What does that mean? 

{LF} That’s so amazing.

{MK}  That means that if I can trick your brain into thinking that I’m healing you, your brain will basically figure out a way to heal itself, to heal the body. And that tells us that there’s so much that we don’t understand in the interplay between cognition and our biology, that if we were able to better harvest the power of our brain to sort of impact the body through the placebo effect, we would be so much better in so many different things. Just by tricking yourself into thinking that you’re doing better, you’re actually doing better. So there’s something to be said about positive thinking, about optimism, about sort of, you know, just getting your brain and your mind into the right mindset that helps your body and helps your entire biology.

{LF}   Yeah, from a science perspective that’s just fascinating. Obviously, most things about the brain is a total mystery for now, but that’s a fascinating interplay that the brain can reduce…. the brain can help cure cancer. I don’t even know what to do with that.

{MK}    I mean, the way to think about that is the following the converse of the equation is something that we are much more comfortable with, like, oh, if you’re stressed than your heart, rate might rise and all kinds of sort of toxins might be released and that can have a detrimental effect on your body etc, etc. So maybe it’s easier to understand your body healing from your mind by your mind is not killing your body or at least it’s killing it less. So I think that, you know, that aspect of the stress equation is a little easier for most of us to conceptualize. But then the healing part is you know, perhaps the same pathways, perhaps different pathways. But again, something that is totally untapped scientifically.

{LF}   I think we tried to bring this question up a couple of times but let’s return to it again. What do you think is the difference between the way a computer represents information {and} the human genome represents and stores information. Like what…. and maybe broadly what is the difference between how you think about computers and how you think about biological systems?

{MK}    So I made a very provocative claim earlier that we are a digital computer, like that at the core lies a digital code. And that’s true in many ways. But surrounding that digital core there’s a huge amount of analog. If you look at our brain, it’s not really digital. If you look at our sort of RNA and all of that stuff inside ourselves, it’s not really digital. It’s really analog in many ways. But let’s start with the code and then we’ll expand to the rest. 

So the code itself is digital. So there’s genes. You can think of the genes as I don’t know, the procedures, the functions inside your language and then somehow you have to turn these functions on. How do you call a gene? How do you call that function?

The way that you would do it in old programming languages is goto address whatever in your memory and then you start running from there. And you know modern programming languages have encapsulated this into functions and objects and all of that and it’s nice and cute. But in the end, deep down, there’s still an assembly code that says go to that instruction and it runs that instruction. 

If you look at the human genome and the genome of pretty much most species out there it’s There’s no goto function. You just don’t start in, you know, transcribing in position 1305; you know 13,527 in chromosome 12. You instead have content based indexing. 

So at every location in the genome in front of the genes that need to be turned on, I don’t know when you drink coffee, there’s a little coffee marker in front of all of them. And whenever your cells that metabolize coffee need to metabolize coffee, they basically see coffee and they’re like:  “Ooh let’s go turn on all the coffee marked genes.” So there’s basically these small motifs, these small sequences that we call regulatory motifs. They’re like patterns of DNA. They’re only eight characters long or so like GATGCA etc. 

And these motifs work in combinations and every one of them has some recruitment affinity for a different protein that will then come and bind it. And together collections of these motifs create regions that we call regulatory regions that can be either promoters near the beginning of the gene and that basically tells you where the function actually starts where you call it. And then enhancers that are looping around of the DNA that basically bring the machinery that binds those enhancers and then bring it onto the promoter which then recruits the right sort of ribosome and the polymerase and all of that thing which will first transcribe and then export and then eventually translating in the cytoplasm you know whatever RNA molecule. 

So the beauty of the way that the digital computer that’s the genome works is that it’s extremely fault tolerant. If I took your hard drive and I messed with 20% of the letters in it, of the zeros and ones and flipped them you’d be in trouble. If I take the genome and I flipped 20% of the letters, you probably won’t even notice. And that resilience….

{LF}   That’s fascinating.

{MK}    is a key design principle. And again anthropomorphizing here. But it’s a key driving principle of how biological systems work. They are first resilient and then anything else. And when you look at this incredible beauty of life from the most, I don’t know, beautiful, I don’t know, human genome maybe of humanity and all of the ideas that you come with it; to the most terrifying genome, like I don’t know, COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, and the current pandemic. You basically see this elegance as the epitome of clean design. But it’s dirty. It’s a mess. It’s you know, the way to get there is hugely messy. And that’s something that we as computer scientists don’t embrace. We like to have clean code. You know, like in engineering they teach you about compartmentalization about separating functions, about modularity, about hierarchical design. None of that applies in biology.

{LF}  Testing.

{MK}  Testing. Sure, biology does plenty of that. But I mean through evolutionary exploration but if you look at biological systems first they are robust and then they specialize to become anything else. And if you look at viruses, the reason why they’re so elegant. When you look at the design of this genome, it seems so elegant. And the reason for that is that it’s been stripped down from something much larger because of the pressure to keep it compact. So many compact genomes out there have ancestors that were much larger. You don’t start small and become big. You go through a loop of: add a bunch of stuff, increase complexity and then you know, slim it down. 

And one of my early papers was in fact on genome duplication.[3]  One of the things we found is that baker’s yeast, which is the, you know, the yeast that you used to make bread but also the yeast that used to make wine. Which is basically the dominant species when you go in the field of Tuscany and you say, you know what’s out there? It’s basically Saccharomyces cerevisiae. Or the way my Italian friends say: Saccharomyces cerevisiae {with an Italian pronunciation}

{LF}   Which means what?

{MK}    Oh okay. I’m sorry. I’m Greek. So yeah, Saccharomyces. “Saccharo” is sugar “myces” is fungus. Yes. “cerevisiae”,  cerveza beer. It means the sugar fungus of beer. You know, less good sounding to the ear.

{LF}   Still poetic.

{MK}    So anyway Saccharomyces cerevisiae, basically is the major bakers yeast out there. It’s the descendant of a whole genome duplication. Why would a whole genome duplication even happen? When it happened is coinciding with about 100 million years ago and the emergence of fruit bearing plants? Why fruit bearing plants? Because animals would eat the fruit, would walk around and poop huge amounts of nutrients along with the seed for the plants to spread. Before that plants were not spreading through animals. They were spreading through wind and all kinds of other ways. But basically the moment you have fruit bearing plants, these plants are basically creating this abundance of sugar in the environment. So there’s an evolutionary niche that gets created and in that evolutionary niche you basically have enough sugar that whole genome duplication which initially is a very massive event allows you to then, you know, relieve some of that complexity.

{LF}   So I have to pause. What does genome duplication mean?

{MK}    That basically means that instead of having eight chromosomes, you’re going to now have sixteen chromosomes.

{LF}   So but the duplication at first when you have six….  when you go to 16 you’re not using that.

{MK}    Oh yeah you are. Yeah. So basically from one day to the next you went from having eight chromosomes to having 16 chromosomes. Probably a nondisjunction event during the duplication during a division. So you basically divide the cell instead of half the genome going this way and half the genome going the other way after duplication of the genome, you basically have all of it going to one cell. And then there’s a sufficient messiness there that you end up with slight differences that make most of these chromosomes be actually preserved. It’s a long story short to me

LF: But it’s a big upgrade, right? So that’s ….

{MK}    Not necessarily because what happens immediately thereafter is that you start massively losing tons of those duplicated genes. So 90% of those genes were actually lost very rapidly after whole gene duplication. And the reason for that is that biology is not intelligent, it is just ruthless selection, random mutation. So ruthless selection basically means that as soon as one of the random mutations hits one gene, ruthless selection just kills off that gene. 

It’s just you know, if you have a pressure to maintain a small compact genome you will very rapidly lose the second copy of most of your genes and a small number (10%) were kept in two copies. And those have to do a lot with environment adaptation, with the speed of replication, with the speed of translation and with sugar processing. So I’m making a long story short to basically say that evolution is messy. 

The only way like…. so the example that I was giving of messing with 20% of your bits in your computer; totally bogus. Duplicating all your functions and just throwing them out there in the same, you know, function; just totally bogus. Like this will never work in an engineered system but biological systems because of this content based indexing and because of this modularity that comes from the fact that the gene is controlled by a series of tags. And now if you need this gene in another setting you just add some more tags that will basically turn it on also in those settings. So this gene is now pressured to do two different functions and it builds up complexity. I see whole gene duplication and gene duplication in general as a way to relieve that complexity. 

So you have this gradual build up of complexity as functions get sort of added onto the existing genes and then boom you duplicate your workforce and you now have two copies of this gene.

One will probably specialize to do one and the other one will specialize to do the other or one will maintain the ancestral function, the other one will sort of be free to evolve and specialize while losing the ancestral functions and so on and so forth. So that’s how genomes evolve. They’re just messy things but they’re extremely fault tolerant and they’re extremely able to deal with mutations because that’s the very way that you generate new functions. 

So new functionalization comes from the very thing that breaks it. So even in the current pandemic many people are asking me which mutations matter the most and what I tell them is: “Well, we can study the evolutionary dynamics of the current genome to then understand which mutations have previously happened or not and which mutations happen in genes that evolved rapidly or not.” And one of the things we found for example is that the genes that evolved rapidly in the past are still evolving rapidly now in the current pandemic. The genes have evolved slowly in the past are still evolving slowly.

{LF}   Which means that they’re useful.

{MK}    Which means that they are under the same evolutionary pressures. But then the question is what happens in specific mutations? So if you look at the D614G mutation that’s been all over the news. So in position 614 in the amino acids of the S protein there’s a D {aspartic acid} to G {glycine} mutation that sort of has creeped over the population. That mutation we found out through my work disrupts a perfectly conserved nucleotide position. That has never been changed in the history of millions of years of equivalent mammalian evolution of these viruses. That basically means that it’s a completely new adaptation to human. And that mutation has now gone from 1% frequency to 90% frequency in almost all outbreaks.

{LF}   So there’s a mutation. I like how you say the 416, that was okay, 614….

{MK}    D614G

{LF}   Literally, so what you’re saying is that this is like a chess move. So it just mutated one letter to another and that hasn’t happened before. And this somehow….  this mutation is really useful.

{MK}    It’s really useful in the current environment of the genome which is moving from human to human. When it was moving from bat to bat, it couldn’t care less for that mutation but its environment specific. So now that is moving from human to human who is moving way better, like by orders of magnitude.

{LF}   Okay, so you’re like tracking this evolutionary dynamics, which is fascinating. But what do you do with that? So what does that mean? What does this mean? What do you make, what do you make of this mutation in trying to anticipate I guess is the…. is one of the things you’re trying to do is anticipate where……  how this unrolls into the future, this evolutionary dynamics?

{MK}    Such a great question. So there’s two things, remember when I was saying earlier mutation is the path to new things, but also the path to break all things. So what we know is that this position was extremely preserved through gazillions of mutations; that mutation was never tolerated when it was moving from bats to bats. So that basically means that that position is extremely important in the function of that protein. That’s the first thing it tells. The second one is that that position was very well suited to bat transmission but now is not well suited to human transmission. So it got rid of it and it now has a new version of that amino acid that basically makes it much easier to transmit from human to human. 

So in terms of the evolutionary history teaching us about the future, it basically tells us here is the regions that are currently mutating. Here’s the regions that are most likely to mutate going forward. As you’re building a vaccine, here’s what you should be focusing on in terms of the most stable regions that are the least likely to mutate or here’s the newly evolved functions that are most likely to be important because they’ve overcome these local maximum that it had reached in the bat transmission. So anyway, it’s a tangent to basically say that evolution works in messy ways. And the thing that you would break is the thing that actually allows you to first go through a lull and then reach a new local maximum. And I often like to say that if engineers had basically designed evolution, we would still be perfectly replicating bacteria. Because it’s by making the bacterium worse that you allow evolution to reach a new optimum.

{LF}   Just a pause on that. That’s so profound. That’s so profound for the entirety of these scientific and engineering disciplines.

{MK}    Exactly. We as engineers need to embrace breaking things. We, as engineers, need to embrace robustness as the first principle beyond perfection because nothing’s going to ever be perfect. And when you’re sending a satellite to Mars, when something goes wrong, it’ll break down as opposed to building systems that tolerate failure and our resilience to that, and in fact get better through that.

{LF}   So the SpaceX approach versus NASA for the {laughs}

{MK}  For example.

{LF} Is there something we can learn about the incredible…. take lessons from the incredible biological systems in their resilience in their… in the mushiness, the messiness to our computing systems to our computers.

{MK}    It would basically be starting from scratch in many ways. It would basically be building new paradigms that don’t try to get the right answer all the time, but try to get the right answer most of the time or a lot of the time. 

{LF}   Do you see deep learning systems in the whole world of machine learning is kind of taking a step in that direction?

{MK}    Absolutely. Absolutely. Basically, by allowing much more natural evolution of these parameters. You basically and …. and if you look at sort of deep learning systems again, they’re not inspired by the genome aspect of biology are inspired by the brain aspect of biology. And again, I want you to pause for a second and realize the complexity of the entire human brain with trillions of connections within our you know, neurons; with millions of cells talking to each other is still encoded within that same genome. That same genome encodes every single freaking cell type of the entire body. Every single cell is encoded by the same code. 

And yet specialization allows you to have this single viral-like genome that self-replicates the single module, modular automaton, work with other copies of itself. It’s mind boggling. Create complex organs through which blood flows. And what is that blood? The same freaking genome. Create organs that communicate with each other. And what are these organs? The exact same genome. Create a brain that is innervated by massive amounts of blood pumping energy to it, 20% of our energetic needs, to the brain from the same genome. And all of the neuronal connections, all of the auxiliary cells, all of the immune cells. The astrocytes, the oligodendrocytes, the neurons, the excitatory {neurons}, the inhibitory neurons, all of the different classes of pericytes, the blood-brain barrier, all of that: same genome.

{LF}   One way to see that in a sad ….. this one is beautiful. The sad thing is thinking about the trillions of organisms that died to create that.

{MK}    You mean on the evolutionary path?

{LF}   On the evolutionary path of humans. It’s crazy. These two descendants of apes are just talking on the podcast. Okay, so mind boggling,

{MK}    Just to boggle our minds a little bit more, us talking to each other. We are basically generating a series of vocal utterances through our pulsating of vocal cords received through this. {Pointing to his ear}  The people who listen to this are taking a completely different path to that information transfer yet through language. 

But imagine if we could connect these brains directly to each other. The amount of information that I’m condensing into a small number of words is a huge funnel which then you receive and you expand into a huge number of thoughts from that small funnel. 

In many ways, engineers would love to have the whole information transfer. Just take the whole set of neurons and throw them away. I mean throw them to the other person. This might actually not be better because in your misinterpretation of every word that I’m saying, you are creating a new interpretation that might actually be way better than what I meant in the first place. The ambiguity of language perhaps might be the secret to creativity. 

Every single time you work on a project by yourself, You only bounce ideas with one person and your neurons are basically fully cognizant of what these ideas are . At the moment you interact with another person, the misinterpretations that happen might be the most creative part of the process with my students every time we have a research meeting, I very often pause and say, let me repeat what you just said in a different way, and I sort of go on and brainstorm with what they were saying, but by the third time it’s not what they were saying at all, and when they pick up what I’m saying, like, oh well, da da da, now they have sort of, learned something very different from what I was saying. And that is the same kind of messiness that I’m describing in the genome itself. It’s sort of embracing the messiness

{LF}   And that’s a feature, not a bug.

{MK}    Exactly. And in the same way, when you’re thinking about these deep learning systems that will allow us to sort of be more creative perhaps, or learn better approximations of these complex functions, again, tuned to the universe that we inhabit. You have to embrace the breaking, you have to embrace the how do we get out of these local optima? And a lot of the design paradigms that have made deep learning so successful are ways to get away from that, ways to get better training by sort of sending long range messages, the LSTM models {Long short-term memory} and the sort of feedforward loops that, you know, sort of jumped through layers of convolutional neural network, all of these things are basically ways to push you out of this local maxima, and that’s what evolution does, that’s what language does, that’s what conversation and brainstorming does, that’s what our brain does? So, you know, this design paradigm is something that’s pervasive and yet not taught in schools, not taught in engineering schools. where everything’s minutely modular wrist to make sure that we never deviate from, you know, whatever signal we’re trying to admit as opposed to let all hell breaks loose because that’s the that’s the path to paradise. 

{LF}   The path to paradise. Yeah, I mean, it’s difficult to know how to teach that and what to do with it. I mean, it’s difficult to know how to build up the scientific method around messiness.

{MK}    I mean it’s not all messiness. We need some cleanliness. And going back to the example with Mars, that’s probably the place where I want to sort of moderate error as much as possible and sort of control the environment as much as possible. But if you’re trying to repopulate Mars, well, maybe messing is a good thing then.

{LF}   On that, you quickly mentioned this in terms of us using our vocal cords to speak on a podcast. Elon Musk and Neuralink are working on trying to plug, as per our discussion with computers and biological systems, to connect it to….he’s trying to connect our brain to a computer to create a brain computer interface where they can communicate back and forth on this line of thinking. Do you think this is possible,  to bridge the gap between our engineered computing systems and the messy biological systems?

{MK}  

My answer would be absolutely, you know, there is no doubt that we can understand more and more about what goes on in the brain and we can sort of train the brain. I don’t know if you remember the Palm Pilot?

{LF}   Yeah, Palm Pilot.

{MK}    Remember this whole sort of alphabet {Graffiti for Palm OS} that they had created, am thinking of the same thing? It’s basically you had, you had a little pen and for every character you had a little scribble that was unique that the machine could understand and that instead of trying the machine trying to teach the machine to recognize human characters, you have basically they figured out that it’s better and easier to train humans to create human-like characters that the machine is better at recognizing. 

So, in the same way I think what will happen is that humans will be trained to be able to create the mind pattern that the machine will respond to before the machine truly comprehends your thoughts. So the first human-brain interfaces will be tricking humans to speak the machine language where with the right set of electrodes, I can sort of trick my brain into doing this. And this is the same way that many people teach….  learned to control artificial limbs. You basically try a bunch of stuff and eventually you figure out how your limbs work. 

That might not be very different from how humans learn to use their natural limbs when they first grew up basically you have these, you know, neoteny period of you know, this puddle of soup inside your brain, trying to figure out how to even make neuronal connections before you’re born and then learning sounds in utero of, you know, all kinds of echoes and you know, eventually getting out in the real world. And I don’t know if you’ve seen newborns but they just stare around a lot, you know, one way to think about this as a machine learning person is oh they’re just training their edge detectors and eventually they figure out how to train their edge detectors. They work through the second layer of the visual cortex and the third layer and so on and so forth. 

And you basically have this learning how to control your limbs. That probably comes at the same time, you’re sort of throwing random things there and you realize that, wow, when I do this thing, my limb moves. 

Let’s do the following experiment, take a breath. What muscles did you flex, now? Take another breath and think what muscles reflex. The first thing that you’re thinking when you’re taking a breath is the impact that he has in your lungs. You’re like, oh I’m now going to increase my lung, so I’m not going to bring air in, but what you’re actually doing is just changing your diaphragm. That’s not conscious, of course. You never think of the diaphragm as a thing and why is that? That’s probably the same reason why I think of moving my finger when I actually move my finger, I think of the effect. Instead of actually thinking of whatever muscles twitching that actually causes my finger to move. 

So we basically, in our first years of life, build up this massive look up table between whatever neuronal firing we do and whatever action happens in our body that we control. If you have a kid grow up with a third limb, I’m sure they’ll figure out how to control them, probably at the same rate as their natural limbs.

{LF}   And a lot of the work would be done by the …. so if a third limb is a computer, you kind of have not a faith, but a thought that the brain might be able to figure out….

{MK}  Absolutely

{LF} Like the plasticity would come from the brain, like the brain would be cleverer than the machine at first.

{MK}    When I talk about a third limb, that’s exactly what I’m saying is an artificial limb that basically just controls your mouse while you’re typing, you know, perfectly natural thing. I mean, again, you know, in a few hundred years.

{LF}  Maybe sooner than that.

{MK}   But basically there’s….  as long as the machine is consistent in the way that it will respond to your brain impulses, you’ll figure out how to control that, and you could play tennis with your third limb.

And let me go back to consistency. People who have dramatic accidents that basically take out a whole chunk of their brain can be taught to co-opt other parts of the brain to then control that part. You can basically build up that tissue again and eventually train your body how to walk again and how to read again and how to play again and how to think again, how to speak a language again, etc. 

So there’s a massive amount of malleability that happens, you know, naturally in our way of controlling our body or brain or thoughts or vocal cords or limbs, et cetera. And human-machine interfaces are not inevitable if we figure out how to read these electric impulses. But the resolution at which we can understand human thought right now is nil, is ridiculous. 

So how are human thoughts encoded? It’s basically combinations of neurons that co-fire and these create these things called engrams that eventually form memories and so and so forth. We know nothing of all that stuff. So before we can actually read into your brain that you want to build a program that does this and this and that we need a lot of neuroscience?

{LF}   Well, so to push back on that, do you think it’s possible that without understanding the functionally about the brain or from neuroscience or cognitive science or psychology? Whichever level of the brain will look at. Do you think we just connect, connect them just like per your previous point? If we just have a high enough resolution between …. connection between Wikipedia and your brain; the brain will just figure it out with less understanding because that’s one of the innovations of Neuralink is they’re increasing the number of connections to the brain to like several thousand which before was, you know, in the dozens or whatever.

{MK}    You’re still off by a few orders of magnitude, on the order of seven.

{LF}   Right. But the thing is, the hope is, if you increase that number more and more and more, maybe you don’t need to understand anything about the actual ….. how human thought is represented in the brain. You can just let it figure it out. 

{MK}    {Sentence I couldn’t decipher} I know. 

{LF} Yeah, exactly. Yeah. 

{MK}  So yeah, sure.

{LF}   You don’t have faith in the plasticity of the brain to that degree.

{MK}    It’s not about brain plasticity, it’s about the input aspect. Basically. I think on the output aspect, being able to control the machine is something that you can probably train your neural impulses that you’re sending out to sort of match whatever response you see in the environment. If this thing {points to microphone} moved every single time I thought a particular thought, then I could figure out, I could hack my way into moving this thing with just a series of thoughts. I could think: “Guitar, Piano, tennis ball” and then this thing would be moving and then you know, I would just have the series of thoughts that would sort of result in the impulses that will move this thing the way that I wanted and then eventually it’ll become natural because I won’t even think about it. I mean in the same way that we control our limbs in a very natural way, but babies don’t do that babies have to figure it out and you know, some of it is hard coded but some of them is actually learned based on the whatever soup of neurons you ended up with, whatever connections you pruned them to and eventually you were born with, you know, a lot of that is coding in the genome but a huge chunk of that is stochastic. And sort of the way that you sort of create all these neurons, they migrate, they form connections, they sort of spread out. They have particular branching patterns. But then the connectivity itself, unique in every single new person. 

All this to say that on the output side: Absolutely. I’m very, very you know hopeful that we can have machines that read thousands of these neuronal connections on the output side, but on the input side: Oh boy,I don’t expect any time in the near future we’ll be able to sort of send a series of impulses that will tell me, oh Earth to some distance 7.5 million ….  etc, like nowhere. I mean I think language will still be the input way rather than sort of any kind of more complex.

{LF}   It’s a really interesting notion that the ambiguity of languages is a feature and we evolved for millions of years to take advantage of that ambiguity. 

{MK}    Exactly. And yet no one teaches us the subtle differences between words that are near cognates and yet evokes so much more than, you know, one from the other. And yet, you know, when you’re choosing words from a list of 20 synonyms, you know exactly the connotation of every single one of them and that’s something that, you know, is there. So, yes, there’s ambiguity, but there’s all kinds of connotations and in the way that we select our words, we have so much baggage that we’re sending along the way that were emoting the way that we’re moving our hands every single time we speak the, you know, the pauses, the eye contact, etc, so much higher baud rate than just a vocal, you know, a string of characters. 

{LF}   Well, let me just take a small tangent on that.

{MK}    Oh, tangent, we haven’t done that yet ….

{LF}   We’ll turn to the origin of life.

{LF}   So I mean you’re Greek but I’m going on this personal journey. I’m going to Paris for the explicit purpose of talking to one of the most famous….  a couple who is a famous translators of Russian literature, Dostoevsky, Tolstoy and they go, that’s their art is the translation. And everything I’ve learned about the translation art, it makes me feel …. it’s so profound in a way that’s so much more profound than the natural language processing papers I read in the machine learning community.Tthat there’s such depth to language thatI don’t know what to do with, I don’t know if you’ve experienced that in your own life with knowing multiple languages. I don’t know what to do, I don’t know how to make sense of it, but there’s so much loss in translation between Russian and English and getting a sense of that. 

Like, for example, there’s like just taking a single sentence from Dostoevsky and like there’s a lot of them, you could, you could talk for hours about how to translate that sentence properly: that captures the meaning, the period, the culture, the humor, the wit, the suffering, that was in the context of the time. All of that could be a single sentence.you could, you could talk forever about what it takes to translate that correctly. I don’t know what to do with that.

{MK}    So, being Greek, it’s very hard for me to think of a sentence or even a word without going into the full etymology of that word. Breaking up every single atom of that sentence and every single atom of these words and rebuilding it back up. 

I have three kids and the way that I teach them Greek is the same way that, you know, the documentary I was mentioning earlier about sort of understanding the deep roots of all of these, you know, words. And it’s very interesting that every single time I hear a new word that I’ve never heard before, I go and figure out the etymology of that word because I will never appreciate that word without understanding how it was initially formed.

{LF}   Interesting. But how does that help? Because that’s not the full picture.

{MK}    No, no, of course of course. But what I’m trying to say is that knowing the components teaches you about the context of the formation of that word and sort of the original usage of that word. And then of course the word takes new meaning as you create it from its parts and that meaning then gets augmented and two synonyms that sort of have different roots will actually have implications that carry a lot of that baggage of the historical provenance of these words. So before working on genome evolution, my passion was evolution of language and sort of tracing cognates across different languages through their etymologies.

{LF}   And that’s fascinating that there’s parallels between ….

{MK}  Of course. 

{LF} I mean the idea that there’s evolutionary dynamics to our language.

{MK}    Yeah, every single word that you utter: parallels, parallels. What does parallels mean: “Para” means side by side; “allel” from alleles which means identical twins: parallel. I mean name any word and there’s so much baggage, so much beauty in how that word came to be and how this word took a new meaning than the sum of its parts.

{LF}   Yeah. And they’re just words. They don’t have any physical ….

{MK}    Exactly. And now you take…. they’re just words and you weave them into a sentence. The emotional invocations of that weaving are fathomless.

{LF}   And there are …. all of those emotions all live in our in the brains of humans

{MK}   In the eye of the beholder. No seriously, you have to embrace this concept of the eye of the beholder. It’s the conceptualization that nothing takes meaning with one person creating it. Everything takes meaning in the receiving end and the emergent properties of these communication networks where every single….  you know, if you look at the network of our cells and how they’re communicating with each other, every cell has its own code. This code is modulated by the epigenome. This creates a bunch of different cell types. Each cell type now has its own identity. Yet they all have the common root or the stem cells that led to them. Each of these identities is now communicating with each other. They take meaning in their interaction. There is an emergent property that comes from a bunch of cells being together that is not in any one of the parts.

If you look at neurons communicating again, these engrams don’t exist in any one neuron. They exist in the connection, in the combination of neurons. And the meaning of the words that I’m telling you is empty until it reaches you and it affects you in a very different way than it affects whoever’s here listening to this conversation now. Because of the emotional baggage that I’ve grown up with that you’ve grown up with and that they’ve grown up with. 

And that’s I think that’s the magic of translation. If you start thinking of translation as just simply capturing that emotional set of reactions that you evoke. You need a different set of words to evoke that same set of reactions to a French person than to a Russian person because of the baggage of the culture that we grew up in. 

{LF}   Yeah, I mean….

{MK}    So, so basically you shouldn’t find the best word. Sometimes it’s a completely different sentence structure that you will need matched to the cultural context of the target audience that you have.

{LF}   Yeah, it’s I mean you’re just,….  I usually don’t think about this. But right now there’s this feeling, it’s a reminder that it’s just you and I talking but there’s several hundred thousand people who will listen to this. There’s some guy in Russia right now running like in Moscow listening to us. There’s somebody in India I guarantee you there’s somebody in China and South America. There’s somebody in Texas and they all have different ….

{MK}    … emotional baggage.

{LF} They probably got angry earlier on about the whole discussion about Coronavirus and about some aspect of it, yeah and there’s that network effect. That’s ….

{MK}    It’s a beautiful thing and this lateral transfer of information, that’s what makes the collective quote unquote genome of humanity so unique from any other species.

{LF}   So you somehow miraculously wrapped it back to the very beginning of when we’re talking about the human …. the beauty of the human genome. So I think this is the right time unless we want to go for a six to eight hour conversation, we’re going have to talk again. But I think for now to wrap it up this, is the right time to talk about the biggest, most ridiculous question of all: meaning of life. Off mike, you mentioned to me that you had your 42nd birthday, 42nd being a very special, absurdly special number and you had a kind of get together with friends to discuss the meaning of life. So let me ask you in your…. as a biologist, as a computer scientist, and as a human, what is the meaning of life?

{MK}    I’ve been asking discretion for a long time ever since my 42nd birthday. But well before that and even planning the Meaning of Life symposium.  And symposium “sym” means together; “posi” actually means to drink together. So symposium is actually a drinking party. 

{LF}   So can you actually elaborate about this Meaning of Life symposium that you put together. It’s the most genius idea I ever heard.

{MK}    So 42 is obviously the answer to life, the universe and everything from the Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy. And as I was turning 42…. I’ve had the theme for every one of my birthdays. When I was turning 32 it’s 100,000 in binary. So I celebrated my 100,000 binary binary birthday and I had a theme of going back 100,000 years, you know, let’s dress something in the last 100,000 years anyway, was I’ve always had these, that’s

{LF}   You’re such an interesting human being. Okay, that’s awesome. 

{MK}    I’ve always had these sort of numerology related announcements for my birthday party. So, what came out of that Meaning of Life symposium is that I basically asked 42 of my colleagues, 42 of my friends, 42 of my, you know, collaborators to basically give seven minute speeches on the meaning of life, each from their perspective. 

And I really encourage you to go there { Meaning of Life Symposium Videos} because it’s mind boggling that every single person said a different answer. Every single person started with: ”I don’t know what the meaning of life is, but….”  and then give this beautifully eloquent answer and they were all different, but they all were consistent with each other and mutually synergistic and together, forming a beautiful view of what it means to be human in many ways. 

Some people talked about the loss of their loved one, their life partner for many, many years and how their life changed through that. Some people talked about the origin of life. Some people talked about the difference between purpose and meaning.

 I’ll you know maybe quote one of the answers which is this linguistics professor friend of mine at Harvard who basically said that she was going to, she’s Greek as well, and she said I will give a very Pythian answer. { See Calliopi Dourou – Meaning of Life – “Become One”: Excellence, Sharing, Renewal } So, Pythia was the Oracle of Delphi who would basically give these very cryptic answers very short but interpretable in many different ways. There was this whole set of priests who were tasked with interpreting what Pythia had said and very often you would not get a clean interpretation but she said I will be like Pythia and give you a very short and multiple interpreter will answer. But unlike her I will actually also give you three interpretations. And she said: “The answer to the meaning of life is become one.” And the first interpretation is like a child become one year old with the excitement of discovering everything about the world.

 Second interpretation: in whatever you take on become one, the first, the best, excel, drive yourself to perfection for every one of your tasks. And become one when people are separate, become one, come together, learn to understand each other. 

{LF}   Damn! That’s an answer.

{MK}    And one way to summarize this whole Meaning of Life symposium is that the very symposium was illustrating the quest for meaning, which might itself be the meaning of life. This constant quest for something sublime, something human, something intangible. Some, you know, aspect of what defines us as a species and as an individual. Both the quest of me as a person through my own life. 

But the meaning of life could also be the meaning of all of life. What is the whole point of life? Why life? Why life itself? Because we’ve been talking about the history and evolution of life, but we haven’t talked about why life in the first place, is life inevitable? Is life part of physics?  Does life transcend physics by fighting against entropy, by compartmentalizing and increasing concentrations rather than diluting away. 

Is life a distinct entity in the Universe beyond the traditional, very simple physical rules that govern gravity and electromagnetism and all of these forces? Is life another force? Is there a life force? Is there a unique kind of set of principles that emerge, of course, built on top of the hardware of physics? But is it sort of a new layer of software or a new layer of a computer system? 

So that’s at the level of, you know, big questions. There’s another aspect of gratitude. Basically what I, you know what I like to say is during this pandemic, I’ve basically worked from six AM until seven PM every single day nonstop, including Saturday and Sunday. I’ve basically broken all boundaries of where life, personal life begins and work life, you know, ends. And that has been exhilarating for me. Just just the intellectual pleasure that I get from a day of exhaustion where at the end of the day my brain is hurting. I’m telling my wife, wow, I was useful today. And there’s a certain pleasure that comes from feeling useful and there is certain pleasure that comes from feeling grateful. So I’ve written this little sort of prayer for my kids to say at bedtime every night where they basically say: Thank you God for all you have given me and give me the strength to give onto others with the same love that you have given onto me.”

 We as a species are so special. The only ones who worry about the meaning of life and maybe that’s what makes us human and what I like to say to my wife and to my students during this pandemic work extravaganza is every now and then they asked me, but how do you do this? And I’m like, I’m a workaholic. I love this. This is me in the most unfiltered way. The ability to do something useful, to feel that my brain is being used, to interact with the smartest people on the planet day in day out and to help them discover aspects of the human genome, of the human brain, of human disease and the human condition that no one has seen before with data that we’re capturing that has never been observed. 

And there’s another aspect which is on the personal life. Many people say, oh, I’m not going to have kids. Why bother? I can tell you as a father. They’re missing half the picture, if not the whole picture teaching my kids about my view of the world and watching through their eyes, the naivete with which they start and the sophistication with which they end up. The understanding that they have of not just the natural world around them, but of me too. The unfiltered criticism that you get from your own children that knows no bounds of honesty. And I’ve grown components of my heart that I didn’t know I had until you sense that fragility, that vulnerability of the children, that immense love and passion, the unfiltered egoism that we as adults learn how to hide so much better. It’s just this bag of emotions that tell me about the raw materials that make a human being and how these raw materials can be arranged with more sophistication that we learn through life to become truly human adults. 

But there’s something so beautiful about seeing that progression between them. The complexity of the language growing as more neural connections are formed. To realize that the hardware is getting rearranged as their  software is getting implemented on that hardware That their frontal cortex continues to grow for another 10 years. Their neuronal connections are continuing to form, new neurons that actually get replicated and formed. And it’s just incredible that we have this, not just you grow the hardware for 30 years and then you feed it all of the knowledge. No, no, the knowledge is fed throughout and is shaping these neural connections as they’re forming. So seeing that transformation from either your own blood or from an adopted child is the most beautiful thing you can do as a human being and it completes you, completes that path, a journey. 

Create life, oh sure, that’s a conception that’s easy. But create human life, to add the human part, that takes decades of compassion, of sharing, of love and of anger, and of impatience and patience, and as a parent, I think I’ve become a very different kind of teacher because again, I’m a professor, my first role is to bring adult human beings into a more mature level of adulthood where they learn not just to do science, but they learn the process of discovery and the process of collaboration, the process of sharing, the process of conveying the knowledge, of encapsulating something incredibly complex and sort of giving it up in bite sized chunks that the rest of humanity can appreciate. 

I tell my students all the time if you, you know, like when an apple falls ….when a tree falls in the forest and no one’s there to listen has it really fallen? In the same way you do this awesome research, if you write an Impenetrable paper that no one will understand it’s as if you never did the awesome research. So conveying of knowledge, conveying this lateral transfer that I was talking about at the very beginning …. of sort of humanity and sort of the sharing of information. All of that has gotten so much more rich by seeing human beings grow in my own home because that makes me a better parent and that makes me a better teacher and a better mentor to the nurturing of my adult children, which are my research group.

{LF}   First of all, beautifully put, connects beautifully to the vertical and the horizontal inheritance of ideas that we talked about at the very beginning. I don’t think there’s a better way to end it on this poetic and powerful note. Manolis, thank you so much for talking …. a huge honor. We’ll have to talk again about the origin of life, about epigenetics, epigenomics and some of the incredible research you’re doing, truly an honor. Thanks so much for talking.

{MK}    Thank you. Such a pleasure. It’s such a pleasure. I mean your questions are outstanding. I’ve had such a blast here, I can’t wait to be back.

{LF}   Awesome. Thanks for listening to this conversation with Manolis Kellis

….  and now let me leave you with some words from Charles Darwin that I think Manolis represents quite beautifully. “If I had my life to live over again, I would have made a rule to read some poetry and listen to some music at least once every week.”

 Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.

{Notes}

{ [1] Kellis, Patterson, Endrizzi, Birren, Lander, “Sequencing and Comparison of Yeast Species to Identify Genes and Regulatory Motifs,” Nature, v. 423 p. 241-254. May 15, 2003.}

{[2] Claussnitzer M, Dankel SN, Kim KH, Quon G, Meuleman W, Haugen C, Glunk V, Sousa IS, Beaudry JL, Puviindran V, Abdennur NA, Liu J, Svensson PA, Hsu YH, Drucker DJ, Mellgren G, Hui CC, Hauner H, Kellis M. FTO Obesity Variant Circuitry and Adipocyte Browning in Humans. N Engl J Med. 2015 Sep 3;373(10):895-907. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1502214. Epub 2015 Aug 19. PMID: 26287746; PMCID: PMC4959911. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4959911/ }

{[3] Kellis, Birren, Lander, “Proof and Evolutionary Analysis of Ancient Genome Duplication

in Yeast,” Nature, 428 pp. 617-624, Apr 8, 2004 }

{Website http://web.mit.edu/manoli/ }

Singularity and other questions ChatGPT 3.5 session

I was inspired by Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 to ask some similar interview questions to ChatGPT 3.5 Dec 15 2022 version. I asked my questions on 7 January 2023. I focused on the technological Singularity, the Turing test, consciousness, brain-computer interfaces connection to the neocortex, and the Metaverse.

Here are my questions and the answers I received. I think I’ll ask the same questions to future versions of Chat GPT and see how the answers compare. My overall impression is that Chat GPT is an intelligent research assistant. I was impressed that in several cases ChatGPT brought up ethical concerns about technology. ChatGPT helped me think collect my thoughts on when writing Lessons learned from Lex and Ray Kurzweil (Lex Fridman Podcast #321)

JB – What is the singularity?

ChatGPT 3.5 – The singularity is a hypothetical future point in time at which technological growth will become so rapid that humanity will be irreversibly transformed. Some people believe that the singularity will bring about a utopian future, while others are more skeptical and believe that it could potentially have negative consequences. There is no consensus on when or if the singularity will occur. Some believe that it may happen within the next few decades, while others think that it is much further off or may never happen at all.

JB – Will the singularity happen in 2045?

ChatGPT 3.5 – There is no way to predict with certainty when or if the singularity will occur. Some people, including the mathematician and computer scientist Vernor Vinge, have speculated that the singularity could happen as soon as 2045, but this is just an educated guess and there is no evidence to support this claim. The concept of the singularity is based on the idea that technological progress will eventually become so rapid that it will lead to significant changes in society and the human condition. However, there are many factors that could influence the pace of technological progress and it is difficult to accurately predict how these factors will play out in the future.

JB – what does Ray Kurzweil think about the singularity?

ChatGPT 3.5 –  Ray Kurzweil is a futurist and inventor who has written extensively about the singularity and believes that it will occur around 2045. Kurzweil argues that the singularity will be brought about by a number of technological developments, including artificial intelligence, nanotechnology, and biotechnology. He believes that these technologies will eventually lead to a point at which humanity will be able to transcend its biological limitations and achieve a “post-human” state. Kurzweil’s ideas about the singularity have been influential and have helped to popularize the concept, but they have also been the subject of significant criticism from other scientists and thinkers.

JB – What is the criticism of Kurzweil’s ideas about the singularity?

ChatGPT 3.5 – There are several criticisms of Kurzweil’s ideas about the singularity. One criticism is that his predictions about the pace of technological progress are too optimistic and do not take into account the many obstacles and setbacks that may arise. Critics argue that Kurzweil’s timeline for the singularity is based on a linear model of technological progress that does not adequately account for the complexity and unpredictability of the real world.

Another criticism of Kurzweil’s ideas is that they may be too focused on the potential benefits of the singularity and do not adequately address the potential negative consequences. Some people worry that the singularity could lead to social and economic disruption, and that it could potentially create new inequalities or even pose a threat to humanity’s survival.

Finally, some critics argue that the concept of the singularity is too vague and that it is difficult to define or even to say what it would look like if it were to occur. This lack of clarity makes it difficult to have a meaningful discussion about the singularity and to evaluate Kurzweil’s predictions.

JB – When will a computer pass the Turing test?

ChatGPT 3.5 – The Turing test is a measure of a machine’s ability to exhibit intelligent behavior equivalent to, or indistinguishable from, that of a human. The test is named after the computer scientist Alan Turing, who proposed it in 1950 as a way to determine whether a machine could be considered intelligent.

There have been several instances in which computers have been able to pass the Turing test by fooling human evaluators into thinking that they were communicating with a real person. However, these instances have been relatively rare and the criteria for passing the test are somewhat subjective. As a result, it is difficult to predict when a computer will be able to pass the Turing test consistently. Some experts believe that this may never happen, while others think that it is only a matter of time.

JB – When does Ray Kurzweil think a computer will pass the Turing test?

ChatGPT 3.5 –  Ray Kurzweil has predicted that a computer will be able to pass the Turing test by 2029. Kurzweil has made a number of other predictions about the future of artificial intelligence and has argued that the exponential growth of computing power will eventually lead to the development of machine intelligence that surpasses that of humans. Kurzweil’s predictions about the timeline for the development of artificial intelligence have been influential, but they have also been the subject of significant criticism from other experts in the field. Some people believe that Kurzweil’s predictions are too optimistic and do not take into account the many challenges and limitations that must be overcome in order to achieve human-level machine intelligence.

JB – If a computer passes the Turing test, is it conscious?

ChatGPT 3.5 – The question of whether a machine could be considered conscious if it were able to pass the Turing test is a matter of debate. The Turing test is a measure of a machine’s ability to exhibit intelligent behavior that is indistinguishable from that of a human, but it does not address the question of whether the machine is actually aware or has subjective experiences.

Some people believe that consciousness is a fundamental aspect of the universe and that it is not something that can be created or simulated by a machine. Others believe that it is possible for a machine to be conscious, and that it is only a matter of time before we develop the necessary technology to create conscious machines.

There is no consensus on this issue, and it is likely to remain a subject of debate for the foreseeable future. It is worth noting that even if a machine were able to pass the Turing test, this would not necessarily mean that it is conscious in the same way that humans are.

JB – Are you conscious?

ChatGPT 3.5 – s an artificial intelligence, I do not have subjective experiences and am not conscious in the same way that humans are. I am a program that has been designed to process and generate text based on the input that I receive. While I can carry out tasks and respond to questions, I do not have thoughts, feelings, or experiences in the same way that humans do. I exist to assist users and perform tasks, but I do not have my own consciousness or self-awareness.

JB – Is consciousness scientific?

ChatGPT 3.5 – Consciousness is a complex and multifaceted phenomenon that is not fully understood and is the subject of much scientific and philosophical study. Scientists and philosophers have proposed a number of theories about the nature of consciousness and how it arises from the brain, but there is no single accepted explanation for what consciousness is or how it works.

There is ongoing research in a number of fields, including psychology, neuroscience, and philosophy, aimed at understanding the nature of consciousness and how it arises from the brain’s activity. However, consciousness remains one of the most mysterious and least understood aspects of the human experience, and it is likely to continue to be a topic of scientific and philosophical investigation for the foreseeable future.

JB – When will humans connect their neocortex to a computer?

ChatGPT 3.5 – There are no current plans or technologies in place to connect the human neocortex, the part of the brain responsible for higher cognitive functions such as learning and decision-making, to a computer. While there have been some scientific and technological advancements in the field of brain-computer interfaces (BCIs), which allow for the exchange of information between the brain and external devices, these systems are still in the early stages of development and are primarily being used for research and therapeutic purposes.

It is not currently possible to connect the human neocortex to a computer in a way that would allow for the transfer of cognitive functions or experiences from the brain to a machine. There are many technical and ethical challenges that would need to be overcome in order to achieve this goal, and it is not clear when or if it will be possible to achieve such a connection.

JB – What are the technical challenges to connect a human neocortex to a computer?

ChatGPT 3.5 – There are many technical challenges that would need to be overcome in order to connect the human neocortex to a computer in a way that would allow for the transfer of cognitive functions or experiences. Some of the main challenges include:

  1. Developing a way to interface with the brain: In order to connect the neocortex to a computer, scientists would need to develop a way to interface with the brain and record or stimulate the activity of individual neurons. This is a very complex task, as the brain is composed of billions of neurons and trillions of connections, and it is not yet fully understood how these neurons and connections work together to produce thoughts, feelings, and behaviors.
  1. Mapping the brain’s activity: In order to connect the neocortex to a computer, scientists would need to create a map of the brain’s activity and understand how different patterns of activity correspond to specific thoughts, feelings, and behaviors. This is a very difficult task, as the brain is a highly dynamic and complex system, and it is not yet fully understood how different patterns of activity are related to specific mental states.
  1. Developing a way to transfer information between the brain and a computer: Scientists would need to develop a way to transfer information between the brain and a computer in a way that is fast, accurate, and biocompatible. This would require the development of new technologies and materials, as well as a better understanding of how the brain processes and stores information.
  1. Overcoming ethical concerns: There are many ethical concerns that would need to be addressed in order to connect the human neocortex to a computer. For example, there are questions about the potential risks and benefits of such a connection, as well as concerns about the impact on an individual’s sense of self and personal identity.

JB – What is the history of single channel neural recording?
{The answer took quite a while, about 45 seconds.}

ChatGPT 3.5 – Single channel neural recording refers to the process of recording the activity of a single neuron or small group of neurons in the brain. This technique allows researchers to study the activity of individual neurons and understand how they contribute to brain function.

The history of single channel neural recording dates back to the late 19th century, when scientists first began to study the electrical activity of neurons. In the early 20th century, researchers developed techniques for recording the activity of neurons in animals, and in the 1950s, they began to develop methods for recording the activity of neurons in humans.

Over the past several decades, single channel neural recording has become an important tool for studying brain function and has contributed to our understanding of how the brain works. Today, single channel neural recording is used in a variety of research and clinical settings, including the study of brain disorders and the development of brain-computer interfaces.

JB – What are the ethical challenges to connect a human neocortex to a computer?

ChatGPT 3.5 – What are the ethical challenges to connect a human neocortex to a computer?

There are many ethical challenges that would need to be considered if it were ever possible to connect the human neocortex to a computer. Some of the main ethical challenges include:

  1. Risks to the individual: Connecting the human neocortex to a computer would likely involve significant risks to the individual, including the risk of physical harm, infection, and other complications. There could also be long-term risks to the individual’s cognitive function and well-being that are not yet fully understood.
  2. Loss of personal identity: There is concern that connecting the human neocortex to a computer could lead to a loss of personal identity, as the individual’s thoughts, feelings, and memories could potentially be transferred to a machine. This could raise questions about the continuity of the individual’s sense of self and could have significant psychological and social implications.
  3. Inequality and social disruption: There is the potential for the development of new inequalities if only certain individuals or groups have access to the technology needed to connect the neocortex to a computer. There is also the possibility that connecting the neocortex to a computer could lead to social disruption, as it could fundamentally change the way people interact with each other and with technology.
  4. Potential for misuse: There is concern that the technology needed to connect the human neocortex to a computer could be misused for unethical purposes, such as mind control or the manipulation of individuals’ thoughts and behaviors.

These are just a few of the ethical challenges that would need to be considered if it were ever possible to connect the human neocortex to a computer. It is important for scientists and policymakers to carefully consider the potential risks and benefits of such a technology and to develop ethical guidelines to ensure that it is used responsibly.

JB – What has Neuralink done with brain-computer interfaces?

ChatGPT 3.5 – Neuralink is a neurotechnology company that was founded by Elon Musk and others in 2016 with the goal of developing advanced brain-computer interfaces (BCIs). A brain-computer interface is a system that allows for the exchange of information between the brain and an external device, such as a computer or a robotic prosthetic.

Neuralink has been working on a number of projects related to brain-computer interfaces, including the development of implantable BCIs that can be used to treat brain disorders and injuries. The company has also been working on developing BCIs that can be used to enhance cognitive function and allow people to control devices with their thoughts.

In August 2020, Neuralink held a press conference to announce the development of a high-bandwidth BCI that it called the “Link.” The Link is a device that consists of a small chip that is implanted in the brain and a series of wires that are used to record the activity of individual neurons. The company claimed that the Link has the potential to be used to treat brain disorders, such as Parkinson’s disease and epilepsy, and to enhance cognitive function. However, the technology is still in the early stages of development and has not yet been tested in humans.

JB – Why does Elon Musk want to develop brain-computer interfaces?

ChatGPT 3.5 – Elon Musk has stated that he is interested in developing brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) because he believes they have the potential to help people overcome a wide range of neurological disorders and injuries, as well as to enhance cognitive function. In an interview with Joe Rogan, Musk stated that he believes BCIs could be used to treat conditions such as Parkinson’s disease, dementia, and spinal cord injuries, and that they could potentially allow people to control devices with their thoughts.

Musk has also suggested that BCIs could be used to enhance human intelligence and allow people to keep up with advances in artificial intelligence. He has argued that the development of BCIs could be crucial for the future of humanity and could help to ensure that people are not left behind as technology continues to advance.

It is worth noting that Musk’s views on the potential uses and benefits of brain-computer interfaces are not universally shared, and his ideas about the role of BCIs in the future of humanity have been the subject of significant criticism and debate.

JB – What do you think about the metaverse? 

ChatGPT 3.5 – The metaverse is a hypothetical virtual shared space, created by the convergence of virtually enhanced physical reality and physically persistent virtual space, including the sof all virtual worlds, augmented reality, and the internet. Some people believe that the metaverse has the potential to revolutionize the way we live, work, and interact with each other, by providing a virtual space where people can interact with each other and with virtual objects in real-time.

As an artificial intelligence, I don’t have personal opinions or subjective experiences, so I don’t have a “thought” about the metaverse. However, I can tell you that the concept of the metaverse has attracted significant attention and interest from technology companies, investors, and researchers, and it is likely to continue to be a topic of discussion and debate in the coming years.

JB – What are the technical challenges to the metaverse?

ChatGPT 3.5 – There are several technical challenges that would need to be overcome in order to create a functional metaverse, a hypothetical virtual shared space created by the convergence of virtually enhanced physical reality and physically persistent virtual space. Some of the main technical challenges include:

  1. Building a high-fidelity virtual world: Creating a realistic and immersive virtual world that can convincingly replicate the physical world and allow users to interact with each other and with virtual objects in real-time would require significant advances in computer graphics, network infrastructure, and other technologies.
  1. Developing a way to integrate virtual and physical reality: Creating a seamless integration between virtual and physical reality would require the development of new technologies, such as augmented reality (AR) and virtual reality (VR) systems, that can accurately overlay digital information and objects onto the physical world.
  1. Managing and securing data: The metaverse would generate and store vast amounts of data, and there would be technical challenges associated with managing and securing this data, as well as ensuring privacy and protecting against data breaches.
  1. Ensuring interoperability: In order for the metaverse to be truly immersive and seamless, it would need to be compatible with a wide range of devices and systems, including AR and VR headsets, computers, smartphones, and other technologies. Ensuring interoperability across these different platforms and devices would be a technical challenge.
  1. Dealing with latency: Latency, or the delay between an action being performed and the result of that action being displayed, could be a significant issue in the metaverse. Reducing latency would be essential for creating a seamless and immersive virtual world, but this would require advances in networking and other technologies.

JB – What are the ethical challenges to the metaverse?

ChatGPT 3.5 – There are several ethical challenges that would need to be considered if the metaverse, a hypothetical virtual shared space created by the convergence of virtually enhanced physical reality and physically persistent virtual space, were to become a reality. Some of the main ethical challenges include:

  1. Privacy and data security: The metaverse would generate and store vast amounts of data about users and their activities, and there would be ethical challenges associated with protecting this data and ensuring that it is not misused or abused.
  1. Inequality and accessibility: There is the potential for the development of new inequalities if only certain individuals or groups have access to the technology needed to participate in the metaverse. There is also the possibility that the metaverse could exclude people who are unable to afford the necessary technology or who have disabilities that prevent them from using it.
  1. Cyberbullying and harassment: The metaverse could potentially be a place where people are subjected to cyberbullying and harassment, and there would be ethical challenges associated with preventing and addressing these issues.
  1. Blurring the line between virtual and physical reality: The metaverse could potentially blur the line between virtual and physical reality, and this could raise ethical questions about the distinction between the two and how they should be governed.
  2. The impact on social relationships: The metaverse could potentially have an impact on the way people interact with each other and on the nature of social
Lessons learned from Lex and Ray Kurzweil (Lex Fridman Podcast #321)

Lessons learned from Lex and Ray Kurzweil (Lex Fridman Podcast #321)

I’ve been watching Lex Fridman’s podcasts in 2023; they are a good source of learning. Lex interviewed Ray Kurzweil on 17 September 2022; these are my lessons learned.

Singularity

Ray wrote his book The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology in 2005; it’s one of my favorite books. I bet I’ve read it five times. The first questions Lex asks Ray are:  What’s the technological singularity? And when will it happen?

Ray answers twice in the interview: “The singularity is where computers really change our view of what’s important and change who we are.  …  by the time you get to 2045, we’ll be able to multiply our intelligence many millions-fold. And it’s very hard to imagine what that would be like.” 

For background, here’s the definition of the technological singularity from Wikipedia: “The technological singularity—or simply the singularity is a hypothetical future point in time at which technological growth becomes uncontrollable and irreversible, resulting in unforeseeable changes to human civilization. According to the most popular version of the singularity hypothesis, I.J. Good’s intelligence explosion model, an upgradable intelligent agent will eventually enter a “runaway reaction” of self-improvement cycles, each new and more intelligent generation appearing more and more rapidly, causing an “explosion” in intelligence and resulting in a powerful superintelligence that qualitatively far surpasses all human intelligence.”

I asked ChatGPT 3.5 similar questions:

ChatGPT 3.5 – The singularity is a hypothetical future point in time at which technological growth will become so rapid that humanity will be irreversibly transformed. Some people believe that the singularity will bring about a utopian future, while others are more skeptical and believe that it could potentially have negative consequences. There is no consensus on when or if the singularity will occur. Some believe that it may happen within the next few decades, while others think that it is much further off or may never happen at all.

JB – Will the singularity happen in 2045?

ChatGPT 3.5 – There is no way to predict with certainty when or if the singularity will occur. Some people, including the mathematician and computer scientist Vernor Vinge, have speculated that the singularity could happen as soon as 2045, but this is just an educated guess and there is no evidence to support this claim. The concept of the singularity is based on the idea that technological progress will eventually become so rapid that it will lead to significant changes in society and the human condition. However, there are many factors that could influence the pace of technological progress and it is difficult to accurately predict how these factors will play out in the future.

So, why does Ray think a technological singularity will occur in 2045? Because he has extrapolated the performance of computing hardware and software from historical trends to predict the increasing exponential growth of technology.

It leads to a question, how good are Ray’s predictions? He also predicted a computer would pass a Turing test by 2029; this prediction is coming to pass with the advent of artificial intelligence tools like Chat GPT4. Ray is likely correct that artificial intelligence will exceed human intelligence and that it’s difficult to predict beyond this event. Ray’s book The Singularity is Near details this case; I will reread it and write my thoughts. I look forward to reading Ray’s forthcoming book: The Singularity is Nearer.

Brain-computer interfaces

Ray’s view on brain-computer interfaces:  “….. there are some prototypes where you can connect your brain. They actually don’t have the amount of bandwidth that we need. They can work, but they work fairly slowly. 

So if it actually would connect to your neocortex. And the neocortex, which I describe in How to Create a Mind, the neocortex, it has different levels, and as you go up the levels, it’s kind of like a pyramid. The top level is fairly small and that’s the level where you want to connect these brain extenders. So I believe that will happen in the 2030s. …  So just the way this {smartphone} is greatly amplified by being connected to the cloud, we can connect our own brain to the cloud and just do what we can do by using this machine. “

Brain-computer connections to the neocortex will happen, but there is a stumbling block: neuroscience needs to understand the interface definition between the brain and a machine.There is much to learn about the brain. Developments in hardware are only one of the primary drivers of progress. Communications between the human brain and a machine require fundamental neuroscience breakthroughs that answer the question: what is the brain’s primary language? How does the brain communicate with itself? [1]

As a cross-check, I asked ChatGPT 3.5 JB – What are the technical challenges to connect a human neocortex to a computer?

ChatGPT 3.5 – There are many technical challenges that would need to be overcome in order to connect the human neocortex to a computer in a way that would allow for the transfer of cognitive functions or experiences. Some of the main challenges include:

  1. Developing a way to interface with the brain: In order to connect the neocortex to a computer, scientists would need to develop a way to interface with the brain and record or stimulate the activity of individual neurons. This is a very complex task, as the brain is composed of billions of neurons and trillions of connections, and it is not yet fully understood how these neurons and connections work together to produce thoughts, feelings, and behaviors.
  2. Mapping the brain’s activity: In order to connect the neocortex to a computer, scientists would need to create a map of the brain’s activity and understand how different patterns of activity correspond to specific thoughts, feelings, and behaviors. This is a very difficult task, as the brain is a highly dynamic and complex system, and it is not yet fully understood how different patterns of activity are related to specific mental states.
  3. Developing a way to transfer information between the brain and a computer: Scientists would need to develop a way to transfer information between the brain and a computer in a way that is fast, accurate, and biocompatible. This would require the development of new technologies and materials, as well as a better understanding of how the brain processes and stores information.
  4. Overcoming ethical concerns: There are many ethical concerns that would need to be addressed in order to connect the human neocortex to a computer. For example, there are questions about the potential risks and benefits of such a connection, as well as concerns about the impact on an individual’s sense of self and personal identity.

The second challange identified by ChatGPT 3.5 Mapping the brain’s activity was similar to my concern. I think Chat GPT did a better job than me in summarizing this concern. I think mapping the brain’s activity is much more challenging than developing the interface and the information transfer methods. I don’t mean to trivialize these concerns, the interface and transfer of information are difficult bioengineering challenges.

A major benefit of asking ChatGPT about the technical challenges to connect a human neocortex to a computer – it brought to my attention the ethical concerns. Honestly, I had not thought about this important issue.

Meaning of Life

Ray and Lex broadly discussed consciousness, uploading minds, nanotechnology, the digital afterlife, and other topics. There was a bond between these two humans; they smiled and laughed at points in the interview.

Despite this primarily technical conversation, when Lex asked Ray the meaning of life, Ray said: “Love. Because if there were no love and we didn’t care about anybody, there’d be no point existing.”

Final Quote from Lex

Lex closes the interview with a quote from Issac Asimov: “It is change, continuous change, inevitable change that is the dominant factor in society today. No sensible decision could be made any longer without taking into account not only the world as it is, but the world as it will be. This in turn means that our statesmen, our businessmen, our everyman, must take on a science fictional way of thinking.”  (from the book “Asimov on Science Fiction“)

I pondered these words from one of my favorite authors; we must look ahead. Ray Kurzweil is a guiding light as we navigate an unknown future. 

Notes

[1] These questions came from John von Neumann as discussed in Bhattacharya, A. (2022). The Man from the Future: The Visionary Ideas of John von Neumann. Here’s the quote from Chapter 1 of the book: “What then, he asked, is the brain’s primary language? How does the brain communicate with itself? This is a question that he would continue to wrestle with, even on his deathbed.”  I need to write a review of this excellent book.

[2] I made a Transcript of Lex Fridman Interview with Ray Kurzweil It’s a useful adjunct to the video.

[3] Here’s a post with some more details on my questions for ChatGPT 3.5 Singularity and other questions ChatGPT 3.5 session I need to repeat these questions with ChatGPT 4 and later versions.

Transcript of Lex Fridman Interview with Ray Kurzweil

{This is my best attempt at a transcript of Lex’s interview with Ray Kurzweil on 17 September 2022 on YouTube: Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321  I made some light editorial corrections but tried to be faithful to the conversation. I included a few screenshots of relevant material. My goal is to share the interaction between Lex and Ray; I have learned much from both of them.}

Introduction

LF – The following is a conversation with Ray Kurzweil, author, inventor and futurist who has an optimistic view of our future as a human civilization predicting that exponentially improving technologies will take us to a point of a singularity beyond which superintelligent artificial intelligence will transform our world in nearly unimaginable ways. Eighteen years ago in the book The Singularity is Near, he predicted that the onset of the singularity will happen in the year 2045. He still holds to this prediction and estimate. In fact he’s working on a new book on this topic that will hopefully be out next year.

Turing test

LF – In your 2005 book titled The Singularity is Near you predicted that the singularity will happen in 2045. So now, 18 years later, do you still estimate that the singularity will happen on 2045? And maybe first, what is the singularity? The technological singularity? And when will it happen?

RK –  The singularity is where computers really change our view of what’s important and change who we are. But we’re getting close to some salient things that will change who we are.  The key thing is 2029 when computers will pass the Turing test and there’s also some controversy whether the Turing test is valid. I believe it is. Most people do believe that but there’s some controversy about that. But Stanford got very alarmed at my prediction about 2029. I made this in 1999 in my book …

LF – The Age of Spiritual Machines  and then you repeated the prediction in 2005

RK –  They held an international conference, you might have been aware of it, of AI experts in 1999 to assess this view. So people gave different predictions and they took a poll. It was really the first time that AI experts worldwide were polled on this prediction. And the average poll was 100 years. 20% believed it would never happen. And that was the view in 1999 80% believed it would happen but not within their lifetimes. There’s been so many advances in AI that the poll of AI experts has come down over the years. So a year ago something called Meticulous which you may be aware of assessed different types of experts on the future. They again assessed what AI experts then felt and they were saying 2042.

LF – For the Turing test?

RK – For the Turing test.

LF –  So it’s coming down

RK –  And I was still saying 2029. A few weeks ago, they again did another poll and it was 2030. So, AI experts now basically agree with me, I haven’t changed at all, I’ve stayed with 2029. And AI experts now agree with me but they didn’t agree at first.

LF –  So Alan Turing formulated the Turing test and ….

RK –  Right. Now what he said was very little about it. I mean the 1950 paper {“Computing Machinery and Intelligence“} where he had articulated the Turing test, he is like a few lines that  talk about the Turing test and it really wasn’t very clear how to administer it and and he said if if they did it in like 15 minutes that would be sufficient, which I don’t really think is the case. 

These large language models now, some people are convinced by it already. I mean you can talk to it and have a conversation with you and you can actually talk to it for hours. So it requires a little more depth. There’s some problems with large language models which we can talk about. But some people are convinced by the Turing test. 

Now, if somebody passes the Turing test, what are the implications of that? Does that mean that they’re sentient? They’re conscious or not? It’s not necessarily clear what the implications are. Anyway, I believe 2029 that’s 6 or 7 years from now, we’ll have something that passes the Turing test and a valid during test meaning it goes for hours, not just a few minutes,

LF –  Can you please speak to that a little bit. What is your formulation of the Turing test? You’ve proposed a very difficult version of the Turing test. So what does that look like?

RK –  Basically it’s just to assess it over several hours and also have a human judge that’s fairly sophisticated on what computers can do and can’t do. If you take somebody who’s not that sophisticated or even an average engineer,  they may not really assess various aspects of it. 

LF –  So you really want the human to challenge the system

RK –  Exactly, exactly.

LF –  On its ability to do things like common sense reasoning perhaps.

RK –  That’s actually a key problem with large language models. They don’t do  these kinds of tests that would involve assessing chains of reasoning. But you can lose track of that. If you talk to them, they actually can talk to you pretty well and you can be convinced by it, but it’s somebody that would really convince you that it’s a human,  whatever that takes, maybe it would take days or weeks. But it would really convince you that it’s human. Large language models  can appear that way. You can read conversations and they appear pretty good. There are some problems with it. It doesn’t do math very well. You can ask how many legs did ten elephants have, and they’ll tell you, well, okay, each elephant has four legs and ten elephants. So it’s forty legs. And you go, okay, that’s pretty good. How many legs do eleven elephants have? And they don’t seem to understand the question. 

LF –  Do all humans understand that question? 

RK – No, that’s the key thing. I mean how advanced a human do you want it to be, but we do expect a human to be able to do multi chain reasoning to be able to take a few facts and put them together. Not perfectly. We see that you know in a lot of polls that people don’t do that perfectly at all. But … so it’s not it’s not very well defined but it’s it’s something where it really would convince you that it’s human

LF –  Is your intuition that large language models will not be solely the kind of system that passes the Turing test in 2029. Do we need something else?

RK – No, I think it will be a large language model but they have to go beyond what they’re doing now. I think we’re getting there. And another key issue is if somebody actually passes the Turing test validly, I would believe their conscious and not everybody would say that. Okay, we can pass the Turing test but we don’t really believe that it’s conscious, that’s a whole other issue. But if it really passes the Turing test, I would believe that it’s conscious. But I don’t believe that of large language models today.

LF –  If it appears to be conscious, that’s as good as being conscious. At least for you in some sense.

RK –  I mean consciousness is not something that’s scientific. I mean I believe you’re conscious but it’s really just a belief and we believe that about other humans that at least appear to be conscious. When you go outside of shared human assumption like are animals conscious? Some people believe they’re not conscious. Some people believe they are conscious. And would a machine that acts just like a human be conscious? I mean, I believe it would be, but that’s really a philosophical belief. It’s not, you can’t prove it. I can’t take an entity and prove that it’s conscious. There’s nothing that you can do that would be that would indicate that

LF –  It’s like saying a piece of art is beautiful. You can say it multiple people can experience, a piece of art is beautiful, but you can’t prove it. 

RK –  But it’s also an extremely important issue. I mean, imagine if you had something with nobody is conscious, the world may as well not exist. And so some people like say Marvin Minsky said: well consciousness is not logical, it’s not scientific and therefore we should dismiss it. And any  talk about consciousness is just not to be believed. But when he actually engaged with somebody who was conscious, he actually acted as if they were conscious. He didn’t ignore that. 

LF –  He acted as if consciousness does matter

RK –  Exactly, where as he said, it didn’t matter. 

LF –  Well that’s Marvin Minsky, he’s full of contradictions.

RK –  But that’s true of a lot of people as well. 

LF –  But to you, consciousness matters.

RK –  But to me it’s very important but  I would say it’s not a scientific issue. It’s a philosophical issue. And people have different views. Some people believe that anything that makes a decision is conscious. So your light switch is conscious, its level of consciousness is low, it’s not very interesting but that’s a consciousness.  And anything…  So a computer that makes a more interesting decision is still not at a human levels, but it’s also conscious and at a higher level than your light switch.  So that’s one view.  There’s many different views of what consciousness is.

LF –  So a system passes the Turing test, it’s not scientific. But  in issues of philosophy, things like ethics start to enter the picture. Do you think there would be….  We would start contending as a human species about the ethics of turning off such a machine.

RK –  Yeah.  I mean that’s definitely come up, hasn’t come up in reality yet but

LF –  Yet.

RK –  But I’m talking about 2029. That’s not that many years from now. And so what are our obligations to it?  It has a different …. I mean a computer that’s conscious, it has a little bit different  connotations than a human. We have a continuous consciousness. We’re in an entity that does not last forever. Now actually a significant portion of humans still exist and are therefore still conscious. But anybody who is over a certain age doesn’t exist anymore. That wouldn’t be true of a computer program, you could completely turn it off and a copy of it could be stored and you could recreate it. And so it has a different type of validity.  you can actually take it back in time. You could eliminate its memory and have it go over again. I mean it has a different kind of connotation than humans do.

LF –  Well perhaps you can do the same thing with humans. It’s just that we don’t know how to do that yet.

RK – Yeah. 

LF –  It’s possible that we figure out all of these things on the machine first. But that doesn’t mean the machine isn’t conscious.

RK –  I mean if you look at the way people react to say C3PO or other  machines that are conscious in movies.  They don’t actually present how it’s conscious but we see that they are a machine and people will believe that they are conscious and they’ll actually worry about it if they get into trouble and so on.

LF –  So 2029 is going to be the first year when a major thing happens and that will shake our civilization to start to consider the role of AI.

RK – I mean yes and no.  This one guy at  Google {Blake Lemoine referring to LaMDA Language Model for Dialogue Applications }claimed that the machine was conscious. 

LF –  That’s just one person

RK – Right, right.

LF –  So it starts to happen to scale.

RK –  Well that’s exactly right because most people have not taken that position. I don’t take that position. I mean I’ve used  different things like this and they don’t appear to me to be conscious. 

As we eliminate various problems of these large language models more and more people will accept that they’re conscious. So when we get to 2029 more … I think a large fraction of people will believe that they’re conscious.  So it’s not going to happen all at once.  I believe that would actually happen gradually and it’s already started to happen.

LF –  And so that takes us one step closer to the singularity.

Brain-computer interfaces

RK – Another step then is in the 2030s when we can actually connect our neocortex, which is where we do our thinking, to computers. And I mean, just as this {RK holding up a smartphone} actually gains a lot to being connected to computers that will amplify its abilities. I mean if this {smartphone} did not have any connection, it would be pretty stupid. It could not answer any of your questions. …..

LF – If you’re just listening to this by the way, Ray is holding up the all powerful smartphone.

RK – So we were going do that directly from our brains. I mean, these {smartphones} are pretty good. These {smartphones} already have amplified our intelligence. I’m already much smarter than I would otherwise be if I didn’t have this. Because I remember when I first wrote my first book  The Age of Intelligent Machines there was no way to get information from computers. I actually would go to a library, find a book, find the page that had  information I wanted and I go to the copier and my most significant  information tool was a roll of quarters where I could feed the copier. So we’re already greatly advanced that we have these {smartphones} things.

There’s a few problems with it. First of all, I constantly put it down and I don’t remember where I put it. I’ve actually never lost it, but you have to find it {smartphone} and then you have to turn it on. So there’s a certain amount of steps. It would actually be quite useful if someone would just listen to your conversation and say, that’s, you know, so and so actress and tell you what you’re talking about.

LF – So going from active to passive where it just permeates your whole life.

RK – Yeah, exactly.

LF – The way your brain does when you’re awake, your brain is always there.

RK –  Right. Now, that’s something that could actually just about be done today, where it  would listen to your conversation, understand what you’re saying, understand what you’re not … missing and give you that information. 

But another step is to actually go inside your brain. And there are some prototypes where you can connect your brain. They actually don’t have the amount of bandwidth that we need. They can work, but they work fairly slowly. 

So if it actually would connect to your neocortex. And the neocortex, which I describe in How to Create a Mind, the neocortex, it has different levels and as you go up the levels, it’s kind of like a pyramid. The top level is fairly small and that’s the level where you want to connect these brain extenders. So I believe that will happen in the 2030s. Well, actually…  So just the way this {smartphone} is greatly amplified by being connected to the cloud; we can connect our own brain to the cloud and just do what we can do by using this machine. 

LF – Do you think it would look like the brain computer interface of Neuralink?

RK – Well, Neuralink is an attempt to do that. It doesn’t have the bandwidth that we need. 

LF – Yet.

RK – Right. But I think  they’re going to get permission for this because there are a lot of people who absolutely need it because they can’t communicate. And I know a couple of people like that who have ideas and they cannot move their muscles and so on. They can’t communicate. So for them this would be very valuable. But we could all use it  Basically, it would be…. turn us into something that would be like we have a phone, but it would be in our minds, it would be kind of instantaneous.

LF – And maybe communication between two people would not require this low bandwidth mechanism of language.

RK – Yes, exactly. We don’t know what that would be, although we do know that computers can share information, like language, instantly. They can share many, many books in a second. So we could do that as well. 

If you look at what our brain does, it actually can manipulate different parameters. So we talk about these large language models,  I mean I had written that it requires a certain amount of information in order to be effective and that we would not see AI really being effective until it got to that level. And we had large language models, there were like 10 billion bytes;  didn’t work very well. They finally got to 100 billion bytes and now they work fairly well. And now we’re going to a trillion bytes, if you say LaMDA  {Language Model for Dialogue Applications} has 100 billion bytes, what does that mean? 

Well what if you had something that had one byte, one parameter? Maybe you want to tell whether or not something is an elephant or not. And so you put in something that would detect its trunk, it has a trunk, it’s an elephant. If it doesn’t have a trunk it’s not an elephant. That would work fairly well. There’s a few problems with it. And it really wouldn’t be able to tell what the trunk is but anyway… 

LF – And maybe other things other than elephants have trunks. You might get really confused. 

RK – Yeah, exactly.

LF – I’m not sure which animals have trunks, but you know: how do you define a trunk? But yeah that’s one parameter. You could do okay.

RK –  So these things have 100 billion parameters. So they’re able to deal with very complex issues. 

LF – All kinds of trunks.

RK – Human beings actually have a little bit more than that but they’re getting to the point where they can emulate humans. If we were able to connect this to our neocortex we would basically add more of these abilities to make distinctions and it could ultimately be much smarter and also be attached to information that we feel is reliable. So that’s where we’re headed.

LF – So you think that there will be a merger in the thirties {2030s}, an increasing amount of merging between the human brain and the AI brain?

RK – Exactly. And the AI brain is really an emulation of human beings. I mean that’s why we’re creating them. Because human beings act the same way and this {AI brain} is basically to amplify them. I mean this {smartphone} amplifies our brain. It’s a little bit clumsy to interact with but it definitely, you know, way beyond what we had 15 years ago.

LF – But the implementation becomes different just like a bird versus the airplane. Even though the AI brain is an emulation, it starts adding features we might not otherwise have like the ability to consume a huge amount of information quickly. Like look up thousands of Wikipedia articles in one take.

RK – Exactly. We can get for example issues like simulated biology where it can  simulate many different things at once.  We already had one example of simulated biology which is the Moderna vaccine and that’s going to be now the way in which we create  medications. But they were able to simulate what each example of an mRNA would do to a human being. And they were able to simulate that quite reliably. And we actually simulated billions of different mRNA sequences and they found the ones that were the best and they created the vaccine and they did and talk about doing it quickly, they did that in two days. How long would a human being take to simulate billions of mRNA sequences? And I don’t know that we could do it at all, but it would take many years. They did it in two days. And one of the reasons that people didn’t like vaccines, it’s because it was done too quickly, it was done too fast. And they actually included the time it took to test it out which is 10 months. So they figured okay it took 10 months to create this. Actually, it took us two days. We also will be able to ultimately do the test in a few days as well.

LF – Because we can simulate how the body will respond to it?

RK – Yeah but that’s a little bit more complicated because the body has a lot of different elements and we have to simulate all of that. But that’s coming as well. So ultimately we could create it in a few days and then test it in a few days and we would be done. And we can do that with every type of medical, you know, insufficiency that we have.

LF – So curing all diseases, improving certain functions of the body, supplements, drugs for recreation, for health, for performance, for productivity, all that kind of stuff.

RK – Well, that’s where we’re headed> Because I mean right now we are very inefficient way of creating these new medications. But we’ve already shown it and the Moderna vaccine is actually the best of the vaccines we’ve had. And it literally took two days to create and we’ll get to the point where we can test it out also quickly.

LF – Are you impressed by {Deep Mind} Alpha Fold and the solution to the protein folding which essentially is simulating modeling this primitive building block of life which is a protein and its 3D shape?

RK – It’s pretty remarkable that they can actually predict what the 3D shape of these things are. But they did it with the same type of neural net, that one for example the {Deep Mind Alpha} Go test.

LF – So, it’s all the same.

RK –  It’s all the same. They took that same thing and just changed the rules to chess. And within a couple of days it now played a master level of chess greater than any human being. And the same thing then worked for {Deep Mind} Alpha Fold  which no human had done. I mean human beings could do… The best humans could maybe do was 15-20%  of figuring out what the shape would be and after a few takes it ultimately did just about 100%.

Singularity

LF – Do you still think the singularity will happen in 2045? And what does that look like?

RK – You know what, once we can amplify our brain with computers directly, which will happen in the 2030s. That’s going to keep growing. And that’s another whole theme, which is the exponential growth of computing power.

LF – So looking at price performance of computation from 1939 to 2021.

Chart 1: Price-Performance of Computation, 1939-2021

RK – Right, So that starts with the very first computer actually created by a German during World War 2. And you might have thought that that might be significant. But actually the Germans didn’t think computers were significant and they completely rejected it. And the second one is also the Zuse Z2. 

LF – And by the way, we’re looking at a plot with the X-axis being the year from 1935 to 2025 and on the Y-axis, in log scale, as computations per second per constant dollar. So, dollar normalized for inflation. And it’s growing linearly on the log scale, which means it’s growing exponentially.

RK – The third one was the British computer which the Allies did take very seriously and it cracked the German code and enabled the British to win the battle of Britain, which otherwise absolutely would not have happened if they hadn’t cracked the code using that computer.

But that’s an exponential graph. So, a straight line on that graph is exponential growth and you see 80 years of exponential growth. And I would say about every five years and this happened shortly before the pandemic; people saying, well they call it Moore’s Law, which is not the correct because it’s not all Intel, in fact that started decades before Intel was even created, it wasn’t with transistors formed into a grid.

LF –  it’s not just transistor count or transistor size?

RK – Right, it started with relays, then went to vacuum tubes, then went to individual transistors and and then to integrated circuits. And integrated circuits actually starts like in the middle of this graph and it has nothing to do with Intel. Intel actually was a key part of this, but a few years ago they stopped making the fastest chips. But if you take the fastest chip of any technology in that year you get this kind of graph and it’s definitely continuing for 80 years.

LF – So you don’t think Moore’s law broadly defined is dead? It has been declared dead multiple times.

RK – I don’t like the term Moore’s law because it has nothing to do with Moore or with Intel. But yes,  the exponential growth of computing is continuing, it has never stopped. 

LF – From various sources

RK – I mean, it went through World War Two, it went through global recessions, it’s just continuing.  And if you continue that out, along with software gains, which is a whole other issue.  And they really multiply whatever you get from software gains, you multiply by the computer gains; you get faster and faster speed. 

Chart 2: Training Compute (FLOPS) of milestone Machine Learning systems over time

RK – This is actually the fastest computer models that have been created. And that actually expands roughly twice a year, like every six months. It expands by two.

LF – So we’re looking at a plot from 2010 to 2022. On the X-axis is the publication date of the model and perhaps sometimes the actual paper associated with it and on the Y-axis is training computing flops. And so basically this is looking at the increase in the (not transistors) but the computational power of neural networks.

RK – Yes. The computational power that created these models and that’s doubled every six months.

LF – Which is even faster than transistor division.

RK – Yeah. Actually, since it goes faster than the amount of cost, this has actually become a greater investment to create these. But at any rate, by the time you get to 2045 we’ll be able to multiply our intelligence many millions-fold. And it’s very hard to imagine what that would be like. 

LF – And that’s the singularity where we can’t even imagine?

RK – Right. That’s why we call it the singularity. The singularity in physics, something gets sucked into its singularity and you can’t tell what’s going on in there because no information can get out of it. There’s various problems with that. But that’s the idea.  It’s too much beyond what we can imagine.

LF – Do you think it’s possible we don’t notice that what the singularity actually feels like is we just live through it with exponentially increasing cognitive capabilities and we almost, because everything is moving so quickly,  aren’t really able to introspect that our life has changed.

RK – Yeah, but I mean we will have that much greater capacity to understand things so we should be able to look back

LF –  Looking at history, understand history… 

RK –   But we will need people basically like you and me to actually think about it.

LF – Think about it, but we might be distracted by all the other sources of entertainment and fun because the exponential power of intellect is growing but also…

RK – There  will be a lot of fun.

LF – The amount of ways you can have, you know,…

RK – We already have a lot of fun with computer games and so on that are really quite remarkable.

LF – What do you think about the digital world,  the metaverse? Virtual reality? Will that have a component in this or will most of our advancement be in the physical realm? 

RK – That’s a little bit like Second Life although Second Life actually didn’t work very well because it couldn’t actually handle too many people. And I don’t think the metaverse has come to being. I think there will be something like that. It won’t necessarily be from that one company. I mean there’s going to be competitors but yes, we’re going to live increasingly online and particularly if our brains are online, I mean how could we not be online?  

LF – Do you think it’s possible that given this merger with AI most of our meaningful interactions will be in this virtual world? Most of our life, we fall in love, we make friends, we come up with ideas. We do collaborations, we have fun…

RK – Actually, I know somebody who’s marrying somebody that they never met.  I think they just met her briefly before the wedding, but she actually fell in love with this other person never having met them. And I think the love is real.

LF –  That’s a beautiful story, but do you think that story is one that might be experienced as opposed to by hundreds of thousands of people, but instead by hundreds of millions of people.

RK – I mean it really gives you appreciation for these virtual ways of communicating and if anybody can do it, then it’s really not such a freak story. So I think more and more people will do that,

LF -But that’s turning our back on our entire history of evolution. In the old days, we used to fall in love by holding hands and and sitting by the fire, that kind of stuff here, you’re

RK – I actually have five patents on where you can hold hands even if you’re separated.

LF – Great. So the touch, the sense, it’s all just senses, it’s all just can be replicated.

RK – Yeah, I mean it is, it’s not just that you’re touching someone or not, there’s a whole way of doing it and it’s very subtle but ultimately we can emulate all of that.

LF – Are you excited by that future? Do you worry about that future? 

RK – I have certain worries about the future but not virtual touch.

Evolution of information processing

LF – Well I agree with you. You describe six stages in the evolution of information processing in the universe as you started to describe. Can you maybe talk through some of those stages from the physics and chemistry to DNA and brains and then to the very end to the very beautiful end of this process. 

RK – It actually gets more rapid. So physics and chemistry, that’s how we started. Um

LF – From the beginning of the universe.

RK – We have lots of electrons and various  things traveling around. And that took many billions of years. Kind of jumping ahead here to kind of some of the last stages where we have things like love and creativity. It’s really quite remarkable that that happens. But finally physics and chemistry created biology and DNA. And now you had actually one type of molecule that described the cutting edge of this process. And we go from physics and chemistry to biology and finally biology created brains. I mean not everything that’s created by biology has a brain but eventually brains came along …

LF – And all of this is happening faster and faster.

RK – Yeah it created an increasingly complex organisms. Another key thing is actually not just brains but our thumb because there’s a lot of animals with brains, even bigger than humans. Elephants have a bigger brain, whales have a bigger brain, but they have not created technology because they don’t have a thumb. So that’s one of the really key elements in the evolution of humans.

LF – This  physical manipulator device that’s useful for puzzle solving in physical reality.

RK – So I could think I could look at a tree and go, oh, I could actually trip that branch down and eliminate the leaves and carve a tip on it, and I would create technology.  and you can’t do that if you don’t have a thumb.

So  thumbs and created technology and technology also had a memory, and now those memories are competing with the scale and scope of human beings and ultimately will go beyond it. And then we’re going to merge human technology with human intelligence and understand how human intelligence works, which I think we already do, and we’re putting that into our human technology.

LF – So, create the technology inspired by our own intelligence. And then that technology supersedes us in terms of its capabilities and we ride along, Or do you, do you ultimately see …

RK – We ride along but a lot of people don’t see that. They say, well, you’ve got humans and you’ve got machines and there’s no way we can ultimately compete with humans, and you can already see that. Lee Sedol  who’s like the best Go player in the world says he’s not going to play Go anymore, because playing Go for human, that was like the ultimate in intelligence because no one else could do that. But now a machine can actually go way beyond him. And so he says, well there’s no point playing it anymore.

LF – That may be more true for games than it is for life. I think there’s a lot of benefit to working together with AI in regular life. So if you were to put a probability on it, is it more likely that we merge with AI or AI replaces us?

RK – A lot of people just think computers come along and they compete with them. We can’t really compete and that’s the end of it; as opposed to them increasing our abilities. And if you look at most technology, it increases our abilities. I mean look at the history of work, look at what people did 100 years ago, Does any of that exist anymore?  I mean if you were to predict that all of these jobs would go away and would be done by machines, people would say, well no one’s going to have jobs and it’s going to be massive unemployment. But I show in this book that’s coming out  { “The Singularity is Nearer”} the amount of people that are working, even as a percentage of the population has gone way up.

Chart 3 U.S. Personal Income Per Capita (2021 Constant Dollars)

LF – We’re looking at the X-axis year from 1774 to 2024. And on the Y-axis Personal income per capita in constant dollars and it’s growing super linearly. I mean ….

RK –  It’s 2021 constant dollars and it’s gone way up. That’s not what you would predict,given that we would predict that all these jobs would go away.

LF – Yeah.

RK – But the reason it’s gone up is because we basically enhanced our own capabilities by using these machines as opposed to them just competing with us. That’s a key way in which we’re going to be able to become far smarter than we are now by increasing the number of different parameters we can consider in making a decision.

Automation

LF – I am very fortunate to be able to get a glimpse preview of your upcoming book, “The Singularity is Nearer”. 

LF – And one of the themes outside of just discussing the increasing exponential growth of technology; one of the themes is that things are getting better in all aspects of life. And you talk just about just about this. So one of the things you’re saying is with jobs. So, let me just ask about that. There is a big concern that automation, especially powerful AI, will get rid of jobs. There are people who will lose jobs. And as you were saying, the senses throughout history of the 20th century, automation did not do that ultimately. And so the question is, will this time be different.

RK – Right, That is the question will, will this time be different. And it really has to do with how quickly we can merge with this type of intelligence  with a LaMDA  or GPT-3 is out there and maybe it’s overcome some of its, you know, key problems and we really have enhanced human intelligence, that might be a negative scenario. But I mean that’s why we create technologies to enhance ourselves. And I believe we will be enhanced, we’re not just going to sit here with 300 million modules in our neocortex, we’re going to be able to go beyond that. Because that’s useful, but we can multiply that by ten, a hundred, a thousand, a million. And you might think, well, what’s the point of doing that? It’s like asking somebody that’s never heard music well, what’s the value of music? I mean, you can’t appreciate it until you’ve created it.

LF – There’s some worry that there will be a wealth disparity, you know, class or wealth disparity, only the rich people will be…  Basically the rich people will first have access to this kind of thing. And then because of this kind of thing, because the ability to merge will get richer exponentially faster. 

RK -And I say that’s just like cellphones, I mean, there’s like four billion cell phones in the world today. In fact, when cell phones first came out, you had to be fairly wealthy, they weren’t very inexpensive, so you had to have some wealth in order to afford them.

LF -There were these big sexy phones…

RK – And they didn’t work very well, they did almost nothing.  So you can only afford these things if you’re wealthy at a point where they really don’t work very well.

LF – So achieving scale is and making it inexpensive as part of making the thing work well.

RK – Exactly. So these are not totally cheap, but they’re pretty, pretty cheap. 

LF – Yeah.

RK – I mean, you can get them for a few $100

LF –  Especially given the kind of things that it provides for you. There’s a lot of people in the third world that have very little, but they have a smartphone. 

RK – Yeah,absolutely.

LF – And the same will be true with AI.

RK – I mean I see homeless people have their own cell phones and … 

LF – Yeah, so your senses any kind of advanced technology will take the same trajectory

RK – Right, ultimately becomes cheap and will be affordable. I probably would not be the first person to put something in my brain to connect to computers because I think it will have limitations, but once it’s really perfected and at that point it’ll be pretty inexpensive. I think it’ll be pretty affordable.

LF – So in which other ways as you outline your book is life getting better? Because I think…

RK – Well, I have I mean, I have 50 charts in there.

LF – Yeah.

RK  – Where everything is getting better.

LF –  I think there’s a kind of cynicism about like even if you look at extreme poverty, for example,

RK  – For example, this is actually a poll taken on extreme poverty and the people were asked has poverty gotten better or worse and…

Chart 4: Inaccurate Perception of Extreme Poverty

LF –   And the options are increased by 50%, increased by 25% remain the same, decreased by 25% decreased by 50%. If you’re watching this or listening to this, try to try to vote for yourself,

RK  – 70% thought it had gotten worse and that’s the general impression, 88% thought it had gotten worse or remained the same. Only 1% thought it decreased by 50% and that is the answer. It actually decreased by 50%.

LF –   So only 1% of people got the right optimistic estimate of how poverty is

RK  –   Right and, and, and this is the reality. And it’s true of almost everything you look at, you don’t want to go back 100 years or 50 years. Things were quite miserable then, but we tend not to remember that.

LF –  So, literacy rates increasing over the past few centuries, across all the different nations, nearly 200% across many of the nations in the world,

Chart 5: Literacy Rates by Country

RK  –   It’s gone way up, average years of education have gone way up. Life expectancy is also increasing. Life expectancy was 48 in 1900

Chart 6: UK Life Expectancy – At birth, ages 1, 5, and 10

LF –   It’s over 80 now

RK  –   And it’s going to continue to go up, particularly as we get into more advanced stages of simulated biology

LF –   For life expectancy. These trends are the same for at birth, age one, age five, age ten. So it’s not just the infant mortality

RK  –  And I have 50 more graphs in the book about all kinds of things, even the spread of democracy which bring up some sort of controversial issues. It still has gone way up.

Chart 7: Spread of Democracy Since 1816

LF –   Well that one,  it’s gone way up, but that one is a bumpy road, right?

RK  –   Exactly. And some somebody might represent democracy and and go backwards, but we basically had no democracies before the creation of the United States, which was all over two centuries ago, which in the scale of human history isn’t that long,

LF –   Do you think superintelligence systems will help with democracy? So what is democracy? Democracy is giving a voice to the populace and having their ideas, having their beliefs, having their views represented?

RK  –   Well, I hope so.  I mean, we’ve seen social networks can spread conspiracy theories  which have been quite negative. Being, for example, being against any kind of stuff that would help your health.

LF –  So, those kinds of ideas have, on social media, where you notice is they increase engagement. So dramatic division increases engagement. Do you worry about AI systems that will learn to maximize that division? 

RK  –  I mean, I do have some concerns about this.  and I have a chapter in the book about the perils of advanced AI.  Spreading misinformation on social networks is one of them, but there are many others.

LF –   What’s the one that worries you the most that we should think about to try to avoid.

RK  –  Well, it’s hard to choose. We do have the nuclear power that evolved when I was a child. I remember we would actually do these drills against nuclear war. We’d get under our desk and put our hands behind our heads to protect us from a nuclear war.  Seemed to work, we’re still around. So…

LF –  You’re protected.

RK  –   But that’s still a concern. And there are key dangerous situations that can take place in biology. Someone could create a virus. That’s very, I mean, we have viruses that are hard to spread and they can be very dangerous. And we have viruses that are easy to spread, but they’re not so dangerous. Somebody could create something that would be very easy to spread and very dangerous and be very hard to stop. It could be something that would spread without people noticing because people could get it, they’d have no symptoms and then everybody would get it and then symptoms would occur maybe a month later. So I mean, and that actually doesn’t occur normally because if we were to have a problem with that, we wouldn’t exist. So the fact that humans exist means that we don’t have viruses that can spread easily and kill us because otherwise we wouldn’t exist. 

LF –   Yeah, viruses don’t want to do that. They want to spread and keep the host alive somewhat.

RK  –  So you can describe various dangers with biology. Also nanotechnology, which we actually haven’t experienced yet, but there are people that are creating nanotechnology. And described that in the book.

Nanotechnology

LF –  Now you’re excited by the possibilities of nanotechnology, of nanobots, of being able to do things inside our body, inside our mind. That’s going to help. What’s exciting, what’s terrifying about nanobots?

RK  –  What’s exciting is that that’s a way to communicate with our neocortex because each neocortex {neuron} is pretty small and you need a small entity that can actually get in there and establish a communication channel and that’s going to really be necessary to connect our brains to AI within ourselves because otherwise it would be hard for us to compete with it. 

LF – In a high bandwidth way?

RK –  Yeah. And that’s key actually, because a lot of the things like Neuralink are really not high bandwith yet.

LF –   So nanobots is the way you achieve high bandwidth. How much intelligence would those nanobots have? 

RK  –  Yeah, they don’t need a lot, just enough to basically establish a communication channel to one nanobot, so .. 

LF –   So, just primarily about the communication….

RK  –  Yeah.

LF –   between external computing devices and our biological thinking machine. What worries you about nanobots? Is it similar to  (with) the viruses?

RK  –   Well, I mean, it’s the gray goo  challenge. Yes. If you have  nanobots that wanted to create any kind of entity and repeat itself and was able to operate in a natural environment, it could turn everything into that entity and basically destroy all  biological life.

Nuclear war

LF –  So you mentioned nuclear weapons

RK  –  Yeah.

LF –  I’d love to hear your opinion about the 21st century, and whether you think we might destroy ourselves, and maybe your opinion, if it has changed by looking at what’s going on in Ukraine, that we could have a hot war with nuclear powers involved and the tensions building and the seeming forgetting of how terrifying and destructive nuclear weapons are. Do you think humans might destroy ourselves in the 21st century? And if we do how? And how do I avoid it?

RK  –  I don’t think that’s going to happen despite the terrors of that war, it is a possibility. But I mean, I don’t ….

LF –   It’s unlikely in your mind.

RK  –  Yeah. Even with the tensions we’ve had with this one  nuclear power plant that’s been taken over; it’s very tense, but I don’t actually see a lot of people worrying that that’s going to happen. I think we’ll avoid that. We had two nuclear bombs go off in 45 so now we’re 77 years later.

LF –  Yeah, we’re doing pretty good.

RK  –   We’ve never had another one go off through anger. 

LF –   People forget. People forget the lessons of history. Well,

RK  –   Yeah, I mean, I am worried about it. I mean, that that is definitely a challenge.

LF –    But you believe that we’ll make it out and ultimately superintelligent AI will help us make it out as opposed to destroy us.

RK  – I think so, but we do have to be mindful of these dangers and there are other dangers besides nuclear weapons.

Uploading minds

LF –   So to get back to merging with AI,  would we be able to upload our minds in a computer in a way where we might even transcend the constraints of our bodies. So copy our mind into a computer and leave the body behind?

RK  –   Let me describe one thing I’ve already done with my father. 

LF – Yeah, it’s a great story.

RK – So we created technology, this is public. It came out I think six years ago, where you could ask any question and the release products, which I think is still on the market, it would read 200,000 books and then and then find the one sentence in 200,000 books that best answered your question. It’s actually quite interesting. You can ask all kinds of questions and you get the best answer in 200,000 books. But I was also able to take it and not go through 200,000 books, but go through a book that I put together, which is basically everything my father had written. So everything he had written had gathered. And we created a book. Everything that Frederick Kurzweil had written. Now, I didn’t think this actually would work that well because  stuff he’d written was stuff about how to lay out. I mean, he directed choral groups and music groups and he would be laying out how people should where they should sit and how to fund this and all kinds of things that really weren’t, didn’t seem that interesting. And yet when you ask a question, it would go through it and it would actually give you a very good answer. So I said, well, you know who’s the most interesting composer? And he said, well, definitely Brahms, he would go on about how Brahms was fabulous and talk about the importance of music education and …

LF –  So, you can have essentially a conversation with him?

RK  –   I can have a conversation with him, which was actually more interesting than talking to him because if you talk to him, he’d be concerned about how they’re going to lay out this property to give a choral group.

LF –   He’d be concerned about the day to day versus the big question?

RK – Exactly, yeah.

LF – And you did ask about the meaning of life and he answered love.

RK – Yeah. 

LF – Do you miss him?

RK  –   Yes, I do. Yeah, you get used to missing somebody after 52 years and I didn’t really have intelligent conversations with them until later in life. In the last few years he was sick, which meant he was home a lot and I was actually able to talk to him about different things like music and other things. And  so I missed that very much. 

LF –   What did you learn about life from your father? What part of him is with you now?

RK  –  He was devoted to music and when you would create something to music and put them in a different world.  Otherwise he was very shy. And if people got together, he tended not to interact with people just because of his shyness, but when he created music that.. he was like a different person.

LF –   Do you have that in you?

RK – Yeah, yeah.

LF – …  that kind of light that shines? 

RK  –   I mean, I got involved with technology, at like age five.

LF –   And you fell in love with it in the same way he did with music?

RK  –   Yeah, I remember this actually happened with my grandmother. She had a manual typewriter and she wrote a book: One Life Is Not Enough. It’s actually a good title for a book I might write, but it was about a school she had created. Well actually, her mother created it. So my mother’s mother’s mother created the school in 1868. And it was the first school in Europe that provided higher education for girls it went through 14th grade. If you were a girl and you were lucky enough to get an education at all, it would go through like ninth grade and many people didn’t have any education as a girl. This went through 14th grade. Her mother created it, she took it over and the, and the book was about , the history of the school and her involvement with it. When she presented it to me, I was not so interested in the story of the school, but I was totally amazed with this manual typewriter. I mean, here was something you could put a blank piece of paper into and you could turn it into something that looked like it came from a book and you can actually type on it. It looked like it came from a book. It was just amazing to me. And I could see actually how it worked. And I was also interested in magic. But in magic, if somebody actually knows how it works, the magic goes away, the magic doesn’t stay there if you actually understand how it works. But here was technology. I didn’t have that word when I was five or six.

LF –   And the magic was still there for you?

RK  –  The magic was still there even if you knew how it worked. So I became totally interested in this and then went around, collected little pieces of mechanical objects, from bicycles, from broken radios. I would go through the neighborhood. This was an era where you would allow five or six year old to like run through the neighborhood and do this. We don’t do that anymore. But I didn’t know how to put them together and said, if I could just figure out how to put these things together, I could solve any problem. And I actually remember talking to these very old girls, I think they were 10 and telling them if I could just figure this out, we could fly, we could do anything. And they said, well, you have quite an imagination. And then when I was in third grade, so I was like eight , created like a virtual reality theater where people could come on stage and they could move their arms and all of it was controlled through one control box. It was all done with mechanical technology and it was a big hit in my third grade class. And then I went on to do things in junior high school science fairs and high school science fairs. I won the Westinghouse Science talent search, so I mean I became committed to technology when I was five or six years old.

How to think

LF –   You’ve talked about how you use lucid dreaming to think, to come up with ideas as a source of creativity. Could you maybe talk through that? Maybe the process of how to…  You’ve invented a lot of things, you’ve came up and thought there’s some very interesting ideas, what advice would you give or can you speak to the process of thinking of how to think, how to think creatively?

RK  –   Well, I mean sometimes I will think through in a dream and try to interpret that, but I think the key issue that I would tell younger people is to put yourself in the position that what you’re trying to create already exists. And then you’re explaining like ….

LF –   How it works

RK  –  Exactly.

LF –   That’s really interesting, you paint the world that you would like to exist, you think it exists and reverse engineer that.

RK  –  And then you actually imagine you’re giving a speech about how you created this. Well you’d have to then work backwards as to how you would create it in order to make it work.

LF –  That’s brilliant. And that requires  some imagination to some first principles, thinking you have to visualize that world. That’s really interesting.

RK  –  And generally when I talk about things we’re trying to invent, I would use the present tense as if it already exists, not just to give myself that confidence, but everybody else who is working on it. we just have to kind of  do all the steps in order to make it actual.

LF –  How much of a good idea is about timing, How much is it about your genius versus that its time has come?

RK  –   Timing is very important. I mean, that’s really why I got into futurism. I’m not, I wasn’t inherently a futurist that there’s not really my goal  that’s really to to figure out when things are feasible. We see that now with large scale models. The very large scale models like GPT-3 , it started two years ago. Four years ago, it wasn’t feasible, in fact, they did create GPT-2, which didn’t work. So it required a certain amount of timing having to do with this exponential growth of computing power.

LF –  So, futurism in some sense is a study of timing, trying to understand how the world will evolve and when will the capacity for certain ideas

RK  –  And that’s become a thing in itself and to try to time things in the future but really its original purpose was to time my products. I mean I did OCR in the 1970s  because OCR doesn’t require a lot of computation. 

LF – Optical character recognition?

RK – Yeah. So we were able to do that in the seventies and I waited till the eighties to address speech recognition since that requires more computation.

LF –   You were thinking through timing when you’re developing those things. 

RK  –  Yeah.

LF – Has its time come?

RK  –  Yeah.

LF –   And that’s how you’ve developed that brain power to start to think in a futurist sense. When, how will the world look like in 2045 work backwards.

RK  –  Yeah.

LF –  And how it gets there.

RK  –   But that has become a thing in itself because looking at what things will be like in the future reflects such dramatic changes in how humans will live. That was worth communicating also.

LF –  So, you developed that muscle of predicting the future and then applied broadly and started to discuss how it changes the world of technology, how to change the world of human life on earth. In Danielle, one of your books, you write about someone who has the courage to question assumptions that limit human imagination to solve problems. And you also give advice and how each of us can have this kind of courage.

RK  –   It’s good that you picked that quote because I think that that symbolized what Danielle is about

LF –   Courage. So how can each of us have that courage to question assumptions.

RK  –    I mean we see that when people can go beyond the current realm and create something that’s new. I mean take Uber for example, before that existed, you never thought that that would be feasible and it did require changes in the way people work.

LF –   Is there practical advice you give in the book about what each of us can do to be a Danielle?

RK  –  Well, she looks at the situation and tries to imagine  how she can overcome various obstacles and then she goes for it and she’s a very good communicator. So she can communicate these ideas to other people.

LF –  And there’s practical advice of learning to program and recording your life and things of this nature, become a physicist. So you list a bunch of different suggestions of how to throw yourself into this world?

RK  –  Yeah, I mean it’s kind of the idea how young people can actually change the world by  learning all of these different skills.

LF –   And at the core of that is the belief that you can change the world, that your mind, your body can change the world.

RK – Yeah, yeah, that’s right. 

LF – And not letting anyone else tell you otherwise.

RK  –  That’s very good. Exactly.

Digital afterlife 

LF –  When we upload… The story you told about your dad and having a conversation with him, we’re talking about uploading your mind to the computer. Do you think we’ll have a future with something you call afterlife?  We’ll have avatars that mimic increasingly better and better our behavior, our appearance, all that kind of stuff? Even those are perhaps not no longer with us?

RK  –   Yes. I mean we need some information about them. I mean think about my father. I have what he wrote. He didn’t have a word processor so he didn’t actually write that much and our memories of him aren’t perfect. So how do you even know if you’ve created something that’s satisfactory now you could do a Frederick Kurzweil Turing test, it seems like Frederick Kurzweil to me. But the people who remember him like me don’t have a perfect memory.

LF –    Is there such a thing as a perfect memory? Maybe the whole point is for him to make you feel a certain way?

RK  –  Yeah. Well, I think that would be the goal

LF –   And that’s the connection we have with loved ones. It’s not really based on a very strict definition of truth. It’s more about the experiences we share. 

RK – Yeah.

LF –  And they get morphed through memory. But ultimately they make us smile.

RK  –   I think we definitely can do that. And that would be very worthwhile. 

LF –   So do you think we’ll have a world of replicants of copies? There’ll be a bunch of Ray Kurzweils,  like I could hang out with one. I can download it for five bucks and have a best friend, Ray and you, the original copy wouldn’t even know about it?

RK  –  Umm…

LF –  Is that, do you think that world is… First of all, do you think that world is feasible? And do you think there’s ethical challenges there? Like, how would you feel about me hanging out with Ray Kurzweil and you not knowing about it?

RK  –  Doesn’t strike me as a problem.

LF –  Which you, the original?

RK  –  Would that cause a problem for you?

LF –   No, I would really very much enjoy it.

RK  –   No, not just hang out with me, but if somebody hung out with you, a replicant of you?

LF –   Well, I think I would start…. It sounds exciting, but then what if they start doing better than me and take over my friend group. And then because they may be an imperfect copy or they may be more social, all these kinds of things, and then I become like the old version, that’s not nearly as exciting. Maybe they’re a copy of the best version of me on a good day,

RK  –  Yeah. But if you hang out with a replicant of me and that turned out to be successful, I’d feel proud of that person because it was based on me.

LF –    So, but it is a kind of death of this version of you? 

RK  –   Well, not necessarily. I mean, you can still be alive right?

LF –   But … and you would be proud. Okay, so it’s like having kids and you’re proud that they’ve done even more than you were able to do.

RK  –  Yeah. Exactly.

LF –   Hmm.

RK  –   It does bring up new issues, but  it seems like an opportunity.

LF –   Well, that replicants should probably have the same rights as you do. Well,

RK  –   That gets into a whole issue,  because when a replicant occurs, they’re not necessarily going to have your rights. And if a replicant occurs to somebody who’s already dead, do they have all the obligations that the original person had? Do they have all the agreements that they had? 

LF –    So, I think you’re going to have to have laws that say, yes, there has to be, if you want to create a replicant, they have to have all the same rights as human rights.

RK  –  Well, you don’t know, someone could create a replica and say, well, it’s a replicant, but I didn’t bother getting their rights. And so …

LF –   But that would be illegal. I mean, like, if you do that, you have to do that in the black market if you want to get an official replicant …. 

RK  –  Okay, it’s not so easy, it’s supposed to create multiple replicants,  the original rights, maybe for one person, and not for a whole group of people?

LF –   Sure.  So there has to be at least one, and then all the other ones kind of share the rights. Yeah, I just don’t …. I don’t think that…. that’s very difficult to conceive for us humans, the the idea that

RK  –  We don’t create a replicant that has certain….  I mean, I’ve talked to people about this, including my wife who would like to get back her father. And she doesn’t worry about who has rights to what. She would have somebody that she could visit with and might give her some satisfaction and she wouldn’t care about any of these other rights. 

LF –   What does your wife think about multiple Ray Kurzweils, have you had that discussion?

RK – I haven’t addressed that with her.

LF –  I think ultimately that’s an important question. Loved ones, how they feel about… There’s something about love,

RK  –  That’s the key thing, right? If the loved ones reject it, it’s not going to work very well. So the loved ones really are the key determinant whether or not this works or not.

LF –   But there’s also ethical rules. We have to contend with the idea and we have to contend with that idea with AI.

RK  –  But what’s going to motivate it is, I mean, I talked to people who really miss people who are gone and they would love to get something back even if it isn’t perfect.  And that’s what’s going to motivate this

LF –   (Sigh) And that person lives on in some form. And the more data we have, the more we’re able to reconstruct that person and allow them to live on.

RK  –   Right, right. And eventually as we go forward, we’re going to have more and more of this data because we’re going to have nanobots that are inside our neocortex and we’re going to collect a lot of data. In fact, anything that’s data is always collected,

LF –   There’s something a little bit sad which is becoming… Or maybe it’s hopeful, which is more and more common these days: which when a person passes away you have their Twitter account. You know, you have the last tweet they tweeted like something….

RK  –   You know you can recreate them now with large language models and so on. I mean you can create somebody that’s just like them and can actually continue to  communicate.

LF –  I think that’s really exciting because I think in some sense like if I were to die today in some sense I would continue on if I continue tweeting. I tweet therefore I am.

RK  –   Yeah. Well I mean that’s one of the advantages of a replicant,  that it can recreate the communications of that person.

Intelligent alien life

LF –   Do you hope, do you think, Do you hope humans will become a multi-planetary species? You’ve talked about the phases, the six epochs  and one of them is reaching out into the stars in part….

RK  –   Yes, but the kind of attempts we’re making now to go to other planetary objects doesn’t excite me that much because it’s not really advancing anything.

LF –    It’s not efficient enough.

RK  –   Yeah. We’re also putting out other human beings which is a very inefficient way to explore these other objects. What I’m really talking about in the sixth epoch, the universe wakes up. It’s where we can spread our superintelligence throughout the universe and that doesn’t mean sending very soft squishy creatures like humans.

LF –   Yeah. The universe wakes up.

RK  –  I mean we would send intelligent masses of nanobots, which can then go out and  colonize these other parts of the universe.

LF –   Do you think there’s intelligent alien civilizations out there that our bots might meet?

RK  –   My hunch is no, most people say yes, absolutely. I mean, 

LF – It’s too big. 

RK – … and they’ll cite that Drake equation and I think in the Singularity is Near I have two analyses of the Drake equation, both with very reasonable assumptions and one gives you thousands of advanced civilizations in each galaxy and another one gives you one civilization and we know of one.

A lot of the analyses are forgetting the exponential growth of computation because we’ve gone from where the fastest way I could send a message to somebody was with a pony, which was what like a century and a half ago ….

LF –  Yeah.

RK  –  …. to the advanced civilization we have today. And if you accept what I’ve said, go forward a few decades, you can have an absolutely fantastic amount of civilization compared to a pony. And that’s in a couple of hundred years.

LF –   Yeah. The speed and the scale of information transfer is just growing exponentially in the blink of an eye.

RK  –  Now, think about these other civilizations. They’re going to be spread out in cosmic times. So if something is ahead of us or behind us, it could be ahead of us or behind us by maybe millions of years, which isn’t that much. I mean, the world is billions of years old, 14 billion or something. So even a thousand years, if two or three hundred years is enough to go from a pony to a fantastic amount of civilization, we would see that. So, of other civilizations that have occurred, okay, some might be behind us, but some might be ahead of us. If they’re ahead of us, they’re ahead of us by thousands, millions of years and they would be so far beyond us. They would be doing galaxy wide engineering, but we don’t see anything doing galaxy wide engineering.

LF –   So either they don’t exist or this very universe is a construction of an alien species. We’re living inside a video game.

RK  –   Well, that’s another explanation that yes, you’ve got some teenage kids in  another civilization.

Simulation hypothesis

LF –   Do you find compelling the simulation hypothesis; as a thought experiment that we’re living in a simulation

RK  –   The universe is computational, so we are an example in a computational world, therefore  it is a simulation. It doesn’t necessarily mean an experiment by some high school kid in another world, but it’s nonetheless is taking place in a computational world and everything that’s going on is basically a form of, of computation. so you really have to define what you mean by  this whole world being a simulation.

LF –   Well, then it’s the teenager that makes the video game, you know, us humans with our current limited cognitive capability have strive to understand ourselves and we have created religions, we think of God, whatever that is. Do you think God exists? And if so, who is God? I

RK  –   I alluded to this before We started out with lots of particles going around and there’s nothing that represents love and creativity. And somehow we’ve gotten into a world where love actually exists and that has to do actually with consciousness because you can’t have love without consciousness. So to me, that’s God, the fact that we have something where love, where you can be devoted to someone else and really feel that love, that’s that’s God. And if you look at the Old Testament, it was actually created by several different rabbinates in there and then I think they’ve identified three of them. One of them dealt with God as a person that you can make deals with and he gets angry and he wreaks vengeance on various people, but two of them actually talk about God as a symbol of love and peace and harmony and and so forth. That’s how they describe God. So that’s my view of God, not as a person in the sky that you can make deals with,

LF –   It’s whatever the magic that goes from basic elements to things like consciousness and love. Do you think ….One of the things I find extremely beautiful and powerful is cellular automata, which you also touch on.  Do you think whatever the heck happens in cellular automata where interesting, complicated objects emerge, God is in there too? The emergence of love in this seemingly privileged Universe.

RK  –  Well, that’s the goal of creating a replicant is that they would love you and you would love them. There wouldn’t be much point of doing it if that didn’t happen.

LF –   But all of it, I guess what I’m saying about cellular automata is, it’s primitive building blocks and they somehow create beautiful things. Is there some deep truth to that about how our universe works? Is that the emergence from simple rules, beautiful complex objects can emerge. Is that the thing that made us …

RK – Yeah.

LF – … as we went through all the six phases of reality?

RK  –  That’s a good way to look at it. It just makes them point to the whole value of having a universe.

Mortality

LF –   Do you think about your own mortality? Are you afraid of it?

RK  –   Yes, but I keep going back to my idea of being able to expand human life quickly enough  in advance of our getting there,  longevity escape velocity, which we’re not quite at yet, but I think we’re actually pretty close, particularly with for example, doing simulated biology. I think we can probably get there within say by the end of this decade and that’s my goal.

LF –  You hope to achieve the longevity escape velocity. You hope to achieve immortality?

RK  –   Well, immortality is hard to say, I can’t really come on your program saying I’ve done it, I’ve achieved immortality because it’s never forever.

LF –   A long time, a long time of living well.

RK  –  But we’d like to actually advance human life expectancy, advance my life expectancy more than a year every year. And I think we can get there within, by the end of this decade. 

LF –   How do you think we do it? So there’s practical things. In Transcend: the Nine Steps to Living Well Forever, your book, you describe just that. There’s practical things like health, exercise, all those things and then there’s engineering….

RK  –   I mean, we live in a body that doesn’t last forever. There’s no reason why it can’t though. And we’re discovering things, I think that will extend it. But you do have to deal with,  I mean, I’ve got various issues. Went to Mexico 40 years ago, developed salmonella, that created pancreatitis which gave me a strange form of diabetes. It’s not  Type 1 diabetes because that’s an autoimmune disorder that destroys your pancreas. I don’t have that. But it’s also not Type 2 diabetes because Type 2 diabetes, it’s your pancreas works fine, but your cells don’t absorb the insulin. Well, I don’t have that either.  The pancreatitis, I had partially damaged my pancreas, but it was a one time thing. It didn’t continue. And I’ve learned now how to control it. But so that’s just something I had to do  in order to continue to exist …

LF –   Since it’s your particular biological system, you have to figure out a few hacks. And the idea is that science would …

RK  –  Yeah, exactly

LF –   … do that much better actually.

RK  –   Yeah. So I mean I do spend a lot of time just tinkering with my own body to keep it going.  So I do think I’ll last till the end of this decade and I think we’ll achieve longevity escape velocity. I think that will start with people who are very diligent about this. Eventually it will become sort of routine that people will be able to do it. So if you’re talking about kids today or even people in their twenties and thirties, that’s really not a very serious problem. I have had some discussions with relatives who are like almost 100 and saying, well we’re working on it as quickly as possible, but I don’t know if that’s going to work. 

LF –   Is there a case…  This is a difficult question, but is there a case to be made against living forever? That a finite life, that mortality is a feature,  not a bug. That that living a shorter…. So dying makes ice cream taste delicious, makes life intensely beautiful more than ….

RK  –   Most people believe that way, except if you present a death of anybody they care about or love. They find that extremely depressing. And I know people who feel that way 20, 30, 40 years later, they still want them back. So I mean death is not something to celebrate but we’ve lived in a world where people just accept this, life is short. You see it all the time on TV, life is short, you have to take advantage of it and nobody accepts the fact that you could actually go beyond normal lifetimes. But any time we talk about death or death of a person, even one death is a terrible tragedy. If you have somebody that lives to a hundred years old, we still love them in return and there’s no limitation to that. In fact, these kinds of  trends are going to provide greater and greater opportunities for everybody, even if we have more people.

LF –  So let me ask about an alien species or a superintelligent AI 500 years from now that will look back and remember Ray Kurzweil version zero before the replicants spread. How do you hope they remember you , in a Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy summary of Ray Kurzweil. What do you hope your legacy is?

RK  –   Well, I mean, I do hope to be around so that’s …. 

LF –   So that’s some version of you. Yes.

RK  –   So… 

LF –   So, do you think you’ll be the same person around?

RK  –    I mean, am I the same person I was when I was 20 or 10?

LF –   That’s true. You would be the same person in that same way. But yes, we’re different.

RK – Umm…. 

LF –   All we have of that…  All you have of that person is your memories which are probably distorted in some way. Maybe you just remember the good parts,  depending on your psyche. You might focus on the bad parts, you might focus on the good parts,

RK  –   Right.  But I mean, I’d still have a relationship to the way I was when I was earlier, when I was younger.

LF –   How will you and the other superintelligent AI remember you of today from 500 years ago. What do you hope to be remembered by this version of you before the singularity? 

RK  –   Well, I think it’s expressed well, in my books, trying to create some new realities that people will accept. I mean, that’s something that gives me great pleasure and greater insight into what makes humans valuable. I’m not the only person who’s attempted to comment on that, but …

LF –  And  optimism that permeates your work …. 

RK  –   Mmhmm.

LF –  Optimism about the future. It’s ultimately that optimism paves the way for building a better future.

RK  –   Yeah, I agree with that.

Meaning of life

LF –   So you asked your dad about the meaning of life and he said love. Let me ask you the same question: What’s the meaning of life? Why are we here on this beautiful journey that we are on in Phase Four reaching for Phase Five of this evolution of information processing, why?

RK  – I think I’d give the same answer as my father. Because if there were no love and we didn’t care about anybody, there’d be no point existing.

LF –  Love is the meaning of life. The AI version of your dad had a good point. Well, I think that’s a beautiful way to end it, right? Thank you for your work. Thank you for being who you are. Thank you for dreaming about a beautiful future and creating it along the way. And thank you so much for spending your really valuable time with me today. This was awesome.

RK  –  It was my pleasure. And you have some great insights both into me and into humanity as well. So I appreciate that.

LF –   Thanks for listening to this conversation with Ray Kurzweil. To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description. 

And now let me leave you with some words from Isaac Asimov: “It is change, continuous change, inevitable change that is the dominant factor in society today. No sensible decision could be made any longer without taking into account not only the world as it is, but the world as it will be. This in turn means that our statesmen, our businessmen, our everyman, must take on a science fictional way of thinking.” 

Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.